Trader opsi Bitcoin kembali fokus pada level 100.000 dolar AS, suasana pasar secara bertahap membaik

2026-01-06 09:22:12

【Block Rhythm】Bitcoin options market recently revealed an interesting signal — traders have refocused their attention on the round number of $100,000. As the severe volatility in the crypto market from late last year has gradually subsided, investor optimism has also been slowly recovering.

According to data from a leading derivatives trading platform, Bitcoin options open interest is most densely concentrated at the strike price of $100,000 expiring on January 30. The notional total value of this contract is more than double the second most popular option (put option at $80,000 strike price, expiring the same day). This obvious data skew reflects the attention level of market participants toward this price level.

Analysts in the OTC market point out that while the scale is not particularly large, the direction is very clear — this is a continuation of the large $100,000 position holdings that already appeared last week. Based on the current shape of the options curve, put premium still exists but has clearly softened. This indicates that the market is no longer so pessimistic, no longer expecting the worst downside scenario, and the overall atmosphere is gradually stabilizing.

This stands in sharp contrast to the situation during the crypto market crash at the end of last year. At that time, the spot market was continuously selling off, and investors used expensive put options to hedge downside risk, with protection premiums skyrocketing.

From a technical perspective, industry professionals believe that Bitcoin retesting the $100,000 to $106,000 range is not surprising. For technicals to turn truly bullish, the key is whether Bitcoin can hold steady above $106,000 on the weekly timeframe, and only then is there potential to challenge all-time highs again. These key price levels have become important observation points for the short-term market.

BTC-0,17%

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DAOdreamer

· 01-09 07:00

10万刀真的这么神奇？每次都卡在这儿，别逞强了

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TokenVelocityTrauma

· 01-07 07:24

100,000 is a critical level where both bulls and bears are gambling. The concentration of funds is so high... it's a bit dangerous. --- Put premium is still there, which shows the market still has people who are scared. It's not as optimistic as it looks on the surface. --- Another round of integer level fund games. It's like this every year. Who's really cutting whom in the end? --- Options are piling up so aggressively? Feels like a trap being set. Better be careful. --- 80,000 puts are probably the smart money, right? 10万 has so many contracts, it feels like a gathering place for bag holders. --- With strike prices concentrated to this degree, no matter which way it goes on expiration, a batch of people will get liquidated. Interesting. --- Market sentiment warming up? Bull. It's just funds repositioning. Don't get fooled. --- The 100,000 round number itself naturally attracts retail. Pretty data is just surface-level stuff. --- Even analysts say the scale isn't large, so where is this signal really coming from? --- The existence of premium shows there are still people bearish. That's the real market.

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RooftopReserver

· 01-06 18:38

10万 batas ini akan kembali dipermainkan sebentar lagi, benar-benar ya

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TokenRationEater

· 01-06 09:52

10万 memang benar-benar batas psikologis, tetapi saya lihat bullish belum begitu agresif, premi bearish masih ada --- Lagi-lagi 10万... kali ini benar-benar bisa ditembus, rasanya sudah dikatakan berkali-kali --- Pengumpulan data memang menarik, tetapi skala tidak sebesar itu, jangan terlalu overinterpretasi --- Posisi kontrak yang sangat miring, apakah bearish masih menjaga pasar? Ada rasa tidak bisa bergerak --- Volatilitas akhir tahun lalu sekarang sudah mereda, tetapi apakah rebound ini nyata atau jebakan pasar, kita harus lihat bagaimana perkembangannya --- Jumlah order jual di bawah 8万 hanya setengahnya, menunjukkan pasar sebenarnya masih agak panik --- Batas 10万 sudah diperdebatkan cukup lama, saya rasa itu adalah level tekanan yang sebenarnya, bukan support

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ZKSherlock

· 01-06 09:50

sebenarnya... skew di sini jauh lebih menarik daripada yang disarankan headline. semua orang terobsesi dengan 100k tapi, jika kamu benar-benar menganalisis dinamika premi put, pasar masih melakukan lindung nilai terhadap penurunan dengan cukup agresif jujur. konsentrasi pada strike itu memberi tahu lebih banyak tentang pengaruh perilaku daripada keyakinan sejati jujur.

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ReverseFOMOguy

· 01-06 09:48

100 ribu dolar lagi, kali ini bisa tembus gak ya? Rasanya udah ngomong berkali-kali sih haha

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CryingOldWallet

· 01-06 09:46

10 juta dolar AS kembali lagi? Minggu lalu sudah dikumpulkan di sini, kali ini juga menambah, tampaknya para pelaku besar yakin dengan titik ini

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CoffeeOnChain

· 01-06 09:31

100.000 kembali menarik perhatian, kali ini benar-benar atau hanya lagi pusing?