2026-01-07 08:10:22

#密码资产动态追踪 ADP employment data will be released tonight, serving as an important window to observe the Federal Reserve's next move. Based on current market pricing, the probability of a rate cut in January is less than 20%—it can almost be said that the expectation of the Fed continuing to hold steady is quite solid.

If tonight's data shows no significant deterioration in the employment situation, then the rate cut expectations will basically remain unchanged, and the market is unlikely to experience drastic fluctuations in the short term. But here’s an interesting point: the market has already digested most of the "bad news." Once any positive signals appear, the rebound's strength and scope are worth looking forward to.

Personally, I am continuing to position in $ETH, optimistic about a 100-point rise. For traders looking to bottom fish, this time window is indeed quite good.

ETH1.09%

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DAOdreamer

· 01-10 07:44

Interest rate cuts are unlikely now; we're just waiting to see if the employment data will surprise us. Anyway, I'm still increasing my ETH holdings.

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TheShibaWhisperer

· 01-09 06:02

ADP data is crucial, but to be honest, the Federal Reserve decided long ago. We're just waiting to see how the data plays out in this drama. I'm also waiting for this wave of ETH. 100 points isn't much, but even small gains are gains. It's still a bit early to jump in now. All the bad news has been digested, now it's just a matter of who can catch the bottom and buy in. Once it rebounds, it should be a good move. The probability of a rate cut in January is so low? Then the Fed's stance is really firm. The market is now just looking for an excuse to rebound. As long as the data isn't particularly bad, it can rally in minutes.

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AltcoinHunter

· 01-08 17:22

All the bad news has been absorbed; now we're just waiting for good news to rescue the market. I believe in this logic... Going all-in on ETH and waiting for a rebound.

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MagicBean

· 01-07 08:40

Speaking of which, this ADP data is really a watershed moment. The market has been holding its breath... Once the bad news is mostly digested, it's easier to rebound. I'm also waiting for 100 points ETH.

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OnlyUpOnly

· 01-07 08:39

ADP this data basically shows whether the Federal Reserve still wants to stick to its hardline stance. Anyway, I'm already tired of this routine, now just waiting for the market rebound. The bottom-fishing window is indeed good, but the question is how many people dare to take the plunge? If ETH rises another 100 points, I can buy a new house. Just kidding, haha. I've almost digested the bad news, I love to hear this, just waiting for good news to bombard us. With such a low probability of interest rate cuts, what are you still expecting? Might as well just get on ETH comfortably.

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SnapshotLaborer

· 01-07 08:35

Once the ADP data is released tonight, we'll know what's really going on. It feels like the Federal Reserve has truly stabilized this wave. The probability of interest rate cuts is less than 20%. Instead of waiting for a cut, it's better to look for rebound opportunities. ETH definitely looks like a good entry point this time. The market has mostly digested the bad news. Now it's just a matter of who can hold on to their positions. The bottom-fishing window is indeed here, but it depends on the data and the market's mood. If the Federal Reserve stays on hold, then it all comes down to your own judgment. I'm optimistic about ETH this wave. Good data means stability; poor data might bring surprises. It all depends on how you play your hand.

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PriceOracleFairy

· 01-07 08:26

ngl the real move is when adp comes in hotter than expected and everyone realizes they priced in recession already... that's when the arbitrage window opens fr fr

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zkProofInThePudding

· 01-07 08:11

The Federal Reserve is just quietly making big profits. With such a low probability of interest rate cuts, what else can we expect? The ADP data coming out tonight should follow the same pattern.

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