In the early hours today, the pan continued the repair momentum from Friday’s pan, testing the 648 line resistance. However, amid the ongoing deterioration of the US-Iran situation and the strait’s tense atmosphere that could trigger an incident at any moment, b-price actually moved higher against the trend during the weekend’s low-liquidity period. This kind of “ignoring macro risks” maneuver has instead further increased market uncertainty. Judging from a logical scenario, on Monday early, pan crude oil is very likely to be pushed higher again, driven by geopolitical headlines. With risk-off sentiment dominating, it’s hard to expect an independent, clean one-way upside move. The current rebound looks more like a “false rise” under conditions of liquidity shortfall. In terms of overall structure, I still maintain the expectation of a deeper pullback. For both short-term and swing strategies, we continue to focus on the rise-fade approach using “push-up then fade” (sell-the-rip) as the main plan. Suggestions: Big cake: around 65,200-65,600 Target: around 64,000-63,500 Second cake: around 1,885-1,910 Target: around 1,820-1,790#PreIPOs第二期OpenAI认购 $BTC $ETH

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