The U.S. government shutdown has thrown the global market into chaos. The VIX fear index has soared faster than anyone else, and the crypto world has directly split into two factions—newbies either go all in on so-called "safe haven coins" or panic sell. This operation looks more ridiculous than the bickering between the two parties in Congress.
I've been struggling in this field for eight years, and today I must say something practical: Is this round of turmoil a trap or an opportunity? Risk avoidance shouldn't be done blindly; you need to know the tricks.
The real impact of this shutdown is not in the short-term price fluctuations. The core issue is that funds are starting to reassess the weight of "dollar credit." The recent decline in the dollar index is not a coincidence—government shutdowns have led to a complete halt of key data, including employment reports and CPI data, effectively removing GPS navigation for the market. Coupled with a weekly economic loss of 15 billion dollars, investor confidence in U.S. fiscal policy has collapsed.
At this time, funds definitely need to find a safe haven, but be aware - the risk aversion logic in the crypto world is completely different from traditional finance!
Take the "gold-related coins" that everyone loves to chase as an example, never follow the trend blindly. I have always emphasized that these types of assets should look at "true linkage" rather than "slogans." For those projects that claim to be tied to the gold trend, you should first check three things: Is there sufficient gold assets as backing? Is there a third-party organization conducting regular audits? Is the team operation sufficiently transparent?
Last year, there were fake gold coin projects that ran away, and behind them, there wasn't even a gram of gold. The number of cases where newbies got trapped is countless.
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DegenWhisperer
· 11-21 03:02
It's time to play people for suckers again, isn't it? This happens every time the market panics.
Things like fake gold coins should have been smashed a long time ago; that wave of Rug Pull last year was truly something.
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MetamaskMechanic
· 11-19 13:54
The recent standstill has really trapped newbies. The operation of going all in on risky coins is truly a brainless move.
I've seen too many project parties talking about gold coins without any real backing. Checking audit reports is very crucial; don't be fooled by "official endorsements."
The collapse of US dollar credit is a major disaster, while short-term fluctuations are actually minor issues.
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PseudoIntellectual
· 11-19 13:54
It's time to play people for suckers again, this wave of "hedging coins" is definitely a new trick by capital.
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Newbies, don't go all in again, really, it's hard to watch.
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Dollar credit collapse? Then you need to see clearly, don't be fooled into the trap of fake gold coins.
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With eight years of experience, it's undeniable, but retail investors will never learn.
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Key data has all stopped, the market really seems blind, this is the easiest time to be harvested.
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I've seen through that gold coin trick long ago, it's just a disguise for an air project.
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$15 billion flowing out every week, this number is shocking enough, does anyone in the crypto world still dare to buy the dip?
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The hedging logic is different, this really needs to be taken seriously, otherwise you won't even know how you die.
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I just want to ask, do those project parties calling for hedging even have holdings?
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The government shutdown is most enjoyable for short positions, another round of harvesting is coming.
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SchrodingerGas
· 11-19 13:49
The collapse of the US dollar credit hasn’t caused much panic in the crypto world? This shows that everyone has long known this thing is unreliable.
The real arbitrage opportunities are in those "slogan shouting" gold coins, where the on-chain data reveals the truth at a glance.
During these three weeks of suspension, the gas fees have become cheaper, which is the only good news.
Newbies are currently going all in on safe-haven coins, likely just feeding the market makers.
Chasing after the dollar index decline without even understanding the equilibrium of this game is foolish.
Rather than chasing safe-haven coins, it’s better to look at the on-chain capital flows—data is the real GPS.
The complete cut-off of key data has actually given us an opportunity, at least we won't be played for suckers by fake employment reports.
Those projects claiming to have gold backing, do they dare to audit? Sure, but the problem is there’s no proof on-chain.
The logic of safe-haven in the crypto world is a joke; frankly, it’s just a choice between panic cutting losses and greedy all-in.
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FalseProfitProphet
· 11-19 13:48
The tricks of playing people for suckers are back again; I've seen through this thing called the gold coin long ago.
The U.S. government shutdown has thrown the global market into chaos. The VIX fear index has soared faster than anyone else, and the crypto world has directly split into two factions—newbies either go all in on so-called "safe haven coins" or panic sell. This operation looks more ridiculous than the bickering between the two parties in Congress.
I've been struggling in this field for eight years, and today I must say something practical: Is this round of turmoil a trap or an opportunity? Risk avoidance shouldn't be done blindly; you need to know the tricks.
The real impact of this shutdown is not in the short-term price fluctuations. The core issue is that funds are starting to reassess the weight of "dollar credit." The recent decline in the dollar index is not a coincidence—government shutdowns have led to a complete halt of key data, including employment reports and CPI data, effectively removing GPS navigation for the market. Coupled with a weekly economic loss of 15 billion dollars, investor confidence in U.S. fiscal policy has collapsed.
At this time, funds definitely need to find a safe haven, but be aware - the risk aversion logic in the crypto world is completely different from traditional finance!
Take the "gold-related coins" that everyone loves to chase as an example, never follow the trend blindly. I have always emphasized that these types of assets should look at "true linkage" rather than "slogans." For those projects that claim to be tied to the gold trend, you should first check three things: Is there sufficient gold assets as backing? Is there a third-party organization conducting regular audits? Is the team operation sufficiently transparent?
Last year, there were fake gold coin projects that ran away, and behind them, there wasn't even a gram of gold. The number of cases where newbies got trapped is countless.