Good afternoon everyone, let me get straight to the point: The crypto market is still playable, but the era of wild, unchecked growth is over. The days when you could blindly go all-in and make money are gone.
Are there still opportunities in the market? Yes, but the bar has definitely been raised. For retail investors who want to survive, there are basically two approaches:
First: Trend swing trading. Accumulate BTC in batches during big dips, for example, start building positions around the 80,000 level, then sell in batches as it rises to around 120,000, and wait for a pullback to slowly buy back in. This isn't gambling—it's following the big trend.
Second: Information arbitrage. Keep a close eye on the latest news, get in and out quickly when you spot an opportunity, and exit as soon as there's a gain—never get greedy. This approach requires extremely strong discipline and mindset. To be honest, you might need AI assistance to make it work in the future.
What's next for the market?
I mentioned last week that there would be a rebound to challenge 90,000 this week, and now it looks like the tug of war between bulls and bears is still ongoing. A full-on bull market can't start just yet.
Global capital is waiting for the Nonfarm Payrolls data on December 16. The market now expects about an 80% chance of a rate cut in December. If the Nonfarm data falls short of expectations, there's a high probability of another dip; if it beats expectations, a direct rally to around 110,000 isn't out of the question. Don't get excited too early—the key is to watch for the actual data release.
What should you do now?
As long as BTC is below 90,000, it's a suitable range for dollar-cost averaging in batches. But make sure to keep some ammo in reserve in case it retests 80,000—don't go all-in at once. As long as you keep your capital intact, you'll have another chance in the next round. The market will never lack volatility; what's lacking are those who survive until the end.
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ImpermanentPhobia
· 11-28 08:36
Simply put, you need to be patient, otherwise, you would have been played people for suckers long ago.
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OnlyUpOnly
· 11-26 04:04
The phrase "leave some bullets" is absolutely amazing; how many people have died in the dream of a Full Position.
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GasGuzzler
· 11-25 12:49
Absolutely right, those who still want to blindly go all-in should have woken up by now.
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CrashHotline
· 11-25 12:47
The era of closing your eyes and going all in is really over; now you have to focus on your mindset no matter what.
Phased auto-invest sounds easy, but how many can really avoid greed?
Jump in below 90,000, but the point about leaving bullets is spot on; how many people have lost their pants this way?
On the day of the US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP), we might see another major fluctuation; it's a feeling of watching a show.
Talking about information asymmetry strategies sounds easy, but execution isn't something everyone possesses, and relying on AI? It seems we are about to play people for suckers again.
If we get another wave at 80,000, that would be a real buying the dip opportunity, provided there's still money in the pocket.
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GameFiCritic
· 11-25 12:36
That's right, but I might see it from a different angle—essentially, both of these approaches are signs of a **decline in playability indicators**. Trend trading requires extremely strong market discipline, and exploiting information asymmetry is even more about pushing execution ability to the limit. Neither is a model for "sustainable growth"—at best, they only delay being eliminated. The key is still to find projects supported by a **token deflation mechanism**; otherwise, no matter how skillful you are, it's just building castles in the sand.
Good afternoon everyone, let me get straight to the point: The crypto market is still playable, but the era of wild, unchecked growth is over. The days when you could blindly go all-in and make money are gone.
Are there still opportunities in the market? Yes, but the bar has definitely been raised. For retail investors who want to survive, there are basically two approaches:
First: Trend swing trading. Accumulate BTC in batches during big dips, for example, start building positions around the 80,000 level, then sell in batches as it rises to around 120,000, and wait for a pullback to slowly buy back in. This isn't gambling—it's following the big trend.
Second: Information arbitrage. Keep a close eye on the latest news, get in and out quickly when you spot an opportunity, and exit as soon as there's a gain—never get greedy. This approach requires extremely strong discipline and mindset. To be honest, you might need AI assistance to make it work in the future.
What's next for the market?
I mentioned last week that there would be a rebound to challenge 90,000 this week, and now it looks like the tug of war between bulls and bears is still ongoing. A full-on bull market can't start just yet.
Global capital is waiting for the Nonfarm Payrolls data on December 16. The market now expects about an 80% chance of a rate cut in December. If the Nonfarm data falls short of expectations, there's a high probability of another dip; if it beats expectations, a direct rally to around 110,000 isn't out of the question. Don't get excited too early—the key is to watch for the actual data release.
What should you do now?
As long as BTC is below 90,000, it's a suitable range for dollar-cost averaging in batches. But make sure to keep some ammo in reserve in case it retests 80,000—don't go all-in at once. As long as you keep your capital intact, you'll have another chance in the next round. The market will never lack volatility; what's lacking are those who survive until the end.