Official Trump($TRUMP) Price Depth Analysis: Challenges and Opportunities in Market Fluctuation

As of the latest data on November 28, 2025, Official Trump (TRUMP) is facing a critical technical point test on the Gate exchange. The current price is stable around $6.24, with a slight daily decline, continuously facing selling pressure.

The asset's position is far below all its key moving averages — MA-20 ($7.06), MA-50 ($6.83), and MA-200 ($8.96), indicating its continued weak technical stance.

Although TRUMP has risen slightly by 0.91% in the past day, attempting to recover from the recent steep weekly (-8.37%) and monthly (-11.75%) falls, this rebound is more viewed as a technical correction rather than a trend reversal.

01 Current Market Data Overview

According to Gate exchange's latest market data, the real-time price of TRUMP token is $6.23-$6.24, with a market cap remaining at $1.25B.

In the past 24 hours, the trading volume of TRUMP reached $307.72M, indicating a still active market participation.

The circulating supply is 200.00M TRUMP, accounting for 20% of the total supply of 1,000,000,000, with the remaining tokens controlled by entities associated with Trump and released according to a predetermined schedule.

From a broader time frame, TRUMP has fallen by 25.56% in the past 90 days, reflecting the weakness of the medium to long-term trend.

This performance stands in stark contrast to the entire cryptocurrency market—while Bitcoin rebounded from $81,000 to $87,000, the overall market rose by 2.88%, whereas TRU only increased slightly by 0.91%, highlighting its unique risk attributes.

02 Price Trends and Technical Analysis

TRUMP showed significant volatility in November. In early November, the token once reached a high of $12.43, but then experienced a large pullback.

This price fluctuation is closely related to the market's reaction to political news concerning Trump at the time, demonstrating the high sensitivity of TRUMP prices to political events.

Technical indicators are generally leaning bearish. MACD has issued a sell signal, ADX trend strength is weak (18.26), and RSI is at 40.67, all confirming the current momentum is weak.

Some analysts have observed that when the 7-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls near 30, TRUMP shows a technical rebound, a level that historically attracts short-term buyers.

“TRUMP is almost entirely based on emotional trading, particularly political headlines and social media momentum,” pointed out a cryptocurrency analyst regarding its price-driving core.

The key resistance level is at $7.61 (Ichimoku Kijun level), while the immediate support level is at $6.10. If it falls below this support, it could trigger further losses to the $5.60 area.

03 Key Factors Affecting TRUMP Price

Political Narratives and News Cycles

The price trend of the TRUMP token is closely linked to the political fate of Donald Trump.

On October 27, 2025, after Trump stated that the US-China trade agreement was about to be reached, TRU surged nearly 30%, rising from $6.20 to above $8 , with a daily trading volume exceeding $1 billion.

This event typically reflects TRUMP's high sensitivity to political news and also demonstrates its potential for short-term excess returns.

Token Economics and Supply Dynamics

The token economic model of TRUMP is exceptionally centralized. Upon launch, 1,000,000,000 TRUMP were minted, but only 200,000,000 (20%) entered public circulation.

The remaining 800,000,000 tokens (80%) are allocated to two Trump-affiliated entities - CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC, released gradually according to a multi-year unlocking schedule.

Recently, 90 million TRUMP tokens (nearly half of the current circulating supply) have been unlocked and released to the market. This is the first significant “cliff” unlock since the token was launched in early 2025.

This centralized structure causes the trading method of TRUMP to differ from most meme coins, as each scheduled token unlock may expand the circulating supply, significantly impacting the price.

Regulatory Environment and Market Acceptance

The U.S. SEC's regulatory stance on political tokens will directly impact TRUMP's long-term viability. Gate researchers pointed out that the assumption of the SEC not fully banning political tokens carries uncertainty, and if the regulatory attitude shifts, the price of TRUMP may fall rapidly.

On the other hand, the progress of the Trump Coin ETF provides an optimistic signal for the market. On October 10, 2025, the Canary Capital Trump Coin ETF (code: TRPC) appeared on the DTCC settlement platform, which is a key operational milestone.

04 Future Price Prediction

Based on the latest analysis from Gate's research department, the future price trend of TRUMP shows a long-term bullish trend, but there may be significant fluctuations in between.

Short-term outlook (1-7 days): Technical forecasts indicate that TRUMP may continue to fall to the $5.69-$5.75 range, with a decline of approximately 7.82%-8.78%. Over the next five days, the token may trade between $6.10 and $6.85, with lower volatility.

One-month forecast: Analysts expect a possible increase of 8.21%, reaching a level of $6.75.

Long-term outlook: According to predictions from the Gate research department, long-term holders may achieve a +81.00% return from the current price to the average forecast price in 2030.

Specifically:

• Year 2026: Market forecasts the highest price of TRU to be ¥60.57, the lowest price to be ¥48.45, and the average annual price is expected to be ¥57.68. Based on the current price, the potential return rate is approximately +11.00%.
• Year 2028: Expected highest price of TRUMP may reach ¥89.43, average annual price ¥71.54, potential return rate up to +38.00%.
• Year 2030: TRUMP is expected to fluctuate between ¥52.51 and ¥126.59, with an average price of ¥93.77.

05 Investment Risks and Opportunities

regulatory risk

Political tokens may face stricter regulatory scrutiny. Once the SEC's regulatory stance changes, the price of TRUMP may fall rapidly.

liquidity risk

Most trading volume is concentrated on DEX, making it susceptible to flash crashes due to large-scale dumping. The single-day fluctuation of TRUMP from $11.7853 to $9.5033 in early November 2025 demonstrates its high volatility.

Centralized Risk

The concentration of 80% of the supply held by entities associated with Trump means that a small number of wallets control most of the future circulating supply. Unlocking events may increase dilution risks and exert pressure on prices.

political risk

The value of TRUMP is closely tied to the personal political fate of Trump. Any political scandal, health issue, or electoral defeat could have a devastating impact on the token's price.

opportunity factors

Despite the risks, TRUMP also has a unique value proposition. It is the first official cryptocurrency directly associated with the current President of the United States, holding historical significance.

The Trump family plans to use USD1 stablecoin to tokenize Trump-branded real estate projects, as well as Fight Fight Fight LLC raising $200 million to $1 billion for a digital asset fund to buy back TRUMP, which could increase demand and drive up prices.

06 Exchange Strategy Suggestions

Given the unique nature of TRUMP, traders should consider the following strategies:

Position Management: Investors should view TRUMP as an “event-driven speculative position,” and the allocation ratio should not exceed 5% of the portfolio.

Risk control: Set strict take-profit and stop-loss strategies to avoid holding large positions before significant political events. An analyst recommends setting a stop-loss at $6.20 and a target at $8.40.

Information sensitivity: Closely monitor Trump's public statements, project party roadmap, and regulatory dynamics. In particular, pay attention to token unlocking announcements, ETF approval progress, and news regarding the Trump family's blockchain projects.

Long-term perspective: Although TRUMP experiences significant volatility in the short term, the long-term forecast is bullish. From the current price to the average forecast price in 2030, long-term holders could achieve a +81.00% return.

Future Outlook

Observing the fluctuating TRUMP price on the Gate exchange screen, it has become not just a number, but a complex intertwined with political fervor and market sentiment.

For sharp-eyed investors, understanding the rules of this game may mean seizing opportunities at the right moment to achieve excess returns.

But most importantly—risk control is always the top priority, especially at the intersection of politics and cryptocurrency, the two most volatile areas globally.