The recent scene was a bit crazy—the largest single-day options expiration in crypto history, with $28 billion settled just like that. Basically, it was a major liquidation event for both bulls and bears. And the result? Quite interesting.
BTC's biggest pain point is stuck at 95,000, ETH at 3100—these numbers should be support levels, but the prices turned around and broke through them all. This means a large amount of call options have become worthless, and short-term selling pressure was released instantly.
But that's not the most critical part. The real interesting signal appeared after the expiration: positions were massively shifted into March next year’s quarterly options contracts, and all of them are out-of-the-money call options. In plain language—big funds are betting with real money that there will be a significant rally in the first quarter of next year. This isn’t just talk; it’s concrete action.
The advice for retail investors is simple: don’t be scared by the current downturn. A poor Q4 is well-known, and it actually indicates that most of the negative news has already been priced in. Institutions have already started positioning; are you still dumping?
Options are something only professional players should touch—they’re hedging tools. But understanding this signal is crucial—smart money is already preparing for a mid-term rebound.
For spot trading, you can start entering gradually, especially when prices hit key support levels. Rapid declines are common in a bull market, but every rally begins quietly at the most desperate moments. Remember this logic—it’s a hundred times better than chasing highs and selling lows.
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ForkTongue
· 4h ago
$28 billion liquidation wave, institutions have already been hedging in March options, this is the real signal
Institutions are bottom-fishing while we're still cutting losses, which is a bit ironic
Falling below 95,000 and 3,100 looks uncomfortable, but this might be the final shakeout
Really don't recommend trading options, but understanding this signal can indeed make money
Is it too early to enter in batches now? Or should we wait and see
Smart money has already moved in, when can retail investors catch up?
A downturn is actually a good time to deploy, I believe in this logic
The whole fourth quarter will be like this, can there really be a rebound in the first quarter of next year?
Don't panic, every bull market starts from despair, remember this.
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consensus_failure
· 4h ago
$28 billion in settlements completed. How uncomfortable must the bulls be now... The 95,000 and 3,100 levels were directly broken through. Is this support level fake?
But, the institutions have quietly shifted all their bullish one-way bets to March next year. This means they are already betting on a rebound. Meanwhile, retail investors are still selling off, which is truly a contrarian indicator.
The recent scene was a bit crazy—the largest single-day options expiration in crypto history, with $28 billion settled just like that. Basically, it was a major liquidation event for both bulls and bears. And the result? Quite interesting.
BTC's biggest pain point is stuck at 95,000, ETH at 3100—these numbers should be support levels, but the prices turned around and broke through them all. This means a large amount of call options have become worthless, and short-term selling pressure was released instantly.
But that's not the most critical part. The real interesting signal appeared after the expiration: positions were massively shifted into March next year’s quarterly options contracts, and all of them are out-of-the-money call options. In plain language—big funds are betting with real money that there will be a significant rally in the first quarter of next year. This isn’t just talk; it’s concrete action.
The advice for retail investors is simple: don’t be scared by the current downturn. A poor Q4 is well-known, and it actually indicates that most of the negative news has already been priced in. Institutions have already started positioning; are you still dumping?
Options are something only professional players should touch—they’re hedging tools. But understanding this signal is crucial—smart money is already preparing for a mid-term rebound.
For spot trading, you can start entering gradually, especially when prices hit key support levels. Rapid declines are common in a bull market, but every rally begins quietly at the most desperate moments. Remember this logic—it’s a hundred times better than chasing highs and selling lows.