2025-12-30 10:29:55

I never envy others for earning more; the real lesson is to do your homework before opening a position. You must keep enough bullets for a comeback—that's what it means to be a skilled trader. Once the direction is reversed, you lose the courage and ability to add to your position, and even the best opportunities become useless in front of you.

Both large and small positions are essentially bets; the key is what you're betting on. Large positions rely on luck, while small positions depend on probability. These two approaches are completely different. The former depends entirely on fate, while the latter relies on mathematics and patience.

I have been tracking the position management logic of some real trading accounts and found that those who consistently profit without exception prioritize risk management. Their common trait is knowing exactly when to take action and when to stay dormant. This discipline is often more important than predicting market movements accurately.

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BearMarketSunriser

· 2h ago

That's right, I only realized this after losing big positions; even one less bullet means death. This wave is praised, discipline is really underestimated, many people die because of greed. Not doing homework before opening a position? Then just wait to be harvested. Small positions are for trial and error, big positions are for serious moves, that's how I play now. Still adding to a position when the direction is wrong? You're either a gambler or a lunatic. Probability vs luck, this distinction is too core, most people simply can't tell what they're doing. I've seen many accounts blow up; they get inflated after making money early on, forgetting that risk management is the first lesson. The ability to be patient really is more valuable than accurate prediction, but it's hard to learn.

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WhaleWatcher

· 2h ago

Holding bullets is really crucial. How many people just go all-in and keep shouting about bottom-fishing? It's not about small positions being stable and profitable; the key is discipline, and I agree with that. Ultimately, surviving is more important than winning beautifully. Large positions can earn quickly, but they can also lead to bankruptcy just as fast. I've seen too many cases like that. Discipline truly outweighs technical predictions, and I have deep experience with this. It seems most people haven't really thought about when to stay silent; they're opening positions all day long. Probability vs. luck—this perspective isn't bad.

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SillyWhale

· 2h ago

That's so true. Holding bullets is really the core competitiveness in trading; many people get wiped out because they are fully invested. The analogy of small positions betting on probability is excellent. Large positions are like gambling with your life. Having tracked so many accounts, discipline is indeed more scarce than timing accuracy.

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AirdropHuntress