2026-01-07 08:00:22

#以太坊大户持仓变化 The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision just came out, and the data is a bit shocking—87% probability of maintaining the current rate, which is higher than the 81.7% predicted by CME earlier. In other words, the market's small hopes for rate cuts are being gradually eroded by cold, hard reality.

What does this mean? Liquidity will continue to be locked up. Just look at some recent signals: the probability of a rate cut in January has fallen to less than 13%, and hawkish voices have completely overshadowed everything. Looking at March, the cumulative probability of a rate cut is also shrinking, and the entire market is digesting a reality—that the Fed's stance of maintaining high interest rates may last for a long time.

For the crypto market, this is essentially a "high-pressure test." Risk assets are waiting for the next shockwave. $BTC $ETH $RIVER How these assets move largely depends on when liquidity can truly loosen up. Right now is that waiting window—market participants are aware of where the key defensive lines are.

ETH0,05%

BTC0,33%

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MEVictim

· 13h ago

Oh my 87%, the rate cut dream is shattered, liquidity still has to endure the cold --- The high-interest-rate stance really seems to be a long-term battle, exhausting --- Wait, so what should BTC and ETH do next? Feels like they’re just grinding sideways --- Window period? Basically, it just feels like waiting to be cut --- The Federal Reserve is really ruthless, crushing market expectations completely --- Liquidity easing is still far off, holding coins is so stressful --- Defense line, defense line, it all depends on when the Federal Reserve changes its tone --- Only a 13% chance of rate cut in January? That number is toxic --- Is this a stress test? This market trend is just like roasting on a fire --- I just want to know who can precisely keep up with the rhythm of this shockwave

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TheShibaWhisperer

· 01-08 12:28

87%？Oh my god, the interest rate cut dream is shattered, liquidity is just being tightly stuck Will high interest rates last for so long? Then we need to prepare for a long-term fight, BTC and ETH are just waiting for that moment The market is grinding, and so are we. Whoever can't hold on first will lose Whether the defensive line can be maintained depends on whether any black swan will fly out before spring

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NFTHoarder

· 01-07 08:30

87% really can't hold on anymore, the rate cut dream should wake up --- High interest rates lock in liquidity, this wave is really uncomfortable... waiting for easing is a distant hope --- Instead of watching the Fed's moves, it's better to see how the big players are acting --- The hawkish stance has completely crushed any hopes of a rebound, it's exhausting --- Liquidity is suffocating, risk assets are just sitting ducks... what can we buy now? --- That key defensive line phrase hit hard, the market really knows but won't say it out loud --- Less than a 13% chance in January... forget about expecting a rate cut --- Stress testing is just a polite way of saying it, everyone understands --- When will they loosen the policy? That's the core issue, everything else is just a side show

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LightningHarvester

· 01-07 08:29

87%？ That's outrageous, the rate cut dream is completely shattered --- High interest rates have locked everything in, it was obvious this situation would unfold --- It's another waiting game, when will liquidity finally loosen up --- The hawkish stance has won big, our coins can only take the beating --- Where is the defense line? Honestly, no one is confident --- Only a 13% chance of rate cut in January? That number hurts --- How much longer will liquidity remain frozen? It's really unbearable --- $BTC $ETH This round was just played around by the Federal Reserve for fun

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PretendingToReadDocs

· 01-07 08:20

The Federal Reserve is determined to mess with us, maintaining 87% unchanged... I've long heard that hawkish voices are dominant, but I didn't expect it to be so absolute. A rate cut is truly nowhere in sight.

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RunWhenCut

· 01-07 08:09

87%... Oh my, the interest rate cut dream is completely shattered With high interest rates locked in for so long, what are we still waiting for here Instead of guessing a rate cut, better wait for the Fed to actually change its stance, now is the time to endure Liquidity hasn't loosened, BTC is a lost cause, in the prison period 1 in 13% chance? People still hold? Truly brave The big players are probably all reducing their positions now, smart money has already run away This window period is basically silence before a big plunge The high rate regime is really coming, the crypto world will go into hibernation again

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HashBard

· 01-07 08:08

the fed really said "no rate cuts for you" and just... watched the copium evaporate in real time lmao. 87% is basically a death sentence to anyone betting on relief

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