As early as when BTC stopped falling at 80,600, I already defined this wave of market movement — a rebound during the weekly downtrend, targeting the decline from 126,000 to 80,600. Currently, this rebound may have already ended.

Looking at the larger timeframe, the decline starting from 126,000 has two possibilities:

Blue: It is a simple three-wave decline, with the end of the entire downward move found in mid to early March this year. Afterwards, it will rise to 138,000+; at that point, BTC will complete the entire rally that started at 15,400. If this scenario unfolds, the tail of the bull market will only be in the second half of 2026, and the decline from 126,000 is just an adjustment.

Red: The rally starting at 15,400 ended at 126,000, meaning this correction is much larger than the blue route. The subsequent phase will find a local bottom in mid to late February, with this bottom above 80,000. Under this scenario, BTC's movement in the first half of 2026 will be just a rebound, and after reaching the rebound's end in June, it will continue to decline. The decline from 126,000 will only find its bottom in the first half of 2027, after which the next bull market will begin.

Whether it follows the red or blue path, there will be good trend trading opportunities in February and March this year. Even if it's just a rebound, the move will be significant, and it will also drive a batch of altcoins to trend out.

Buy when no one is paying attention, sell when everyone is bustling. I hope everyone can seize the opportunity this year and make a big profit. #btc $BTC