1. Current Structure Assessment (Set the Overall Direction First)

① 1-Hour Level (Determine Direction)

Trend: Clearly downward trend

Moving averages (white line) are pressing down

Middle and upper Bollinger Bands are continuously moving lower

Structure: Higher highs are decreasing, lows are broken at 2163

MACD: Below zero line, weak rebound, no effective golden cross formed

👉 Conclusion:
1H remains dominated by bears, only rebound shorts are possible, no trend longs

② 15-Minute Level (Find Entry)

Price is slowly sliding along the lower Bollinger Band + moving average

Downward movement has rebounds, but rebound momentum is weak and lacks sustainability

MACD repeatedly fails to turn red → typical weak market feature

👉 Conclusion:
15F structure = consolidation of decline, not a bottom

2. Key Price Levels (This is the core)
Important Support

2160–2180: Previous low + sentiment support
⚠ Not a strong support, just a “possible rebound” zone

2120–2140: Once broken below 2160, likely to test directly

Important Resistance (Shorting Zones)

2250–2280: 15F moving average + previous rebound high

2310–2330: 1H middle band + downward trend resistance (strong shorting zone)

3. Practical Trading Strategies (Focus)

✅ Main Strategy: Rebound to short (Follow the trend)

Option A: Aggressive

Entry: 2250–2280

Stop-loss: Above 2310

Target: 2180 → 2140

Position size: 30–40% of normal

Option B: Conservative

Entry: 2310–2330

Stop-loss: 2360

Target: 2220 → 2160

Position size: within 50%

Core Logic:
1H bears are not finished, rebounds are just giving bears more bullets
#大户动向观察