The market has bottomed out and is rebounding! Last night, BTC rebounded back to around $79,000, ETH at $2,346. However, behind this rebound is over $870 million in long and short liquidations within 24 hours, bloodshed everywhere.
Macroeconomics:
1. The hawkish stance of the Fed remains unchanged, with the probability of a rate cut in March at a low 8.9%;
2. Precious metals have stabilized and US stocks are rising, easing some selling pressure;
3. ETF outflows continue, institutional funds have not yet returned;
4. Regulatory disagreements persist, and funds remain cautious.
Trading Recommendations:
- Short-term short positions: BTC $79,500–80,000, ETH $2,450–2,480 (light positions with stop-loss);
- Low-cost buying: BTC $77,500–78,000, ETH $2,280–2,310 (buying on stabilization).
Special Reminder: As long as the volatility hasn't broken, prioritize watching the market. Combine shorting on rebounds with extreme low-cost buying, and strictly control position sizes and stop-losses!
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Market Analysis:
The market has bottomed out and is rebounding! Last night, BTC rebounded back to around $79,000, ETH at $2,346. However, behind this rebound is over $870 million in long and short liquidations within 24 hours, bloodshed everywhere.
Macroeconomics:
1. The hawkish stance of the Fed remains unchanged, with the probability of a rate cut in March at a low 8.9%;
2. Precious metals have stabilized and US stocks are rising, easing some selling pressure;
3. ETF outflows continue, institutional funds have not yet returned;
4. Regulatory disagreements persist, and funds remain cautious.
Trading Recommendations:
- Short-term short positions: BTC $79,500–80,000, ETH $2,450–2,480 (light positions with stop-loss);
- Low-cost buying: BTC $77,500–78,000, ETH $2,280–2,310 (buying on stabilization).
Special Reminder: As long as the volatility hasn't broken, prioritize watching the market. Combine shorting on rebounds with extreme low-cost buying, and strictly control position sizes and stop-losses!