AlexMason

9 / Imagine it's April 10, 2013. Your Bitcoin drops over 80% in a few hours. What would you have done? Held through the chaos? Sold everything to stop the bleeding? Frozen, watching it happen? Moments like that don't test your strategy --- they test your conviction. If you were

2 / The trouble started with Mt. Gox. At the time, it was the Bitcoin exchange. Roughly 70% of all BTC trades went through it. If you wanted to buy or sell, Mt. Gox was the place. But it wasn't built for what was coming. The tech was shaky. The code was old. The system was

4 / As panic spread, the price started to fall. Then it didn't stop. Within hours, Bitcoin collapsed from $266 to around $50. An 80%+ drop. Portfolios were wiped out. People stared at their screens, watching numbers bleed lower. For the first time, the crypto market felt

6 / But here's the part most people forget. Bitcoin didn't die. After the panic and the 80%+ crash, the network kept running. Blocks kept being mined. Transactions kept settling. And those who managed to hold through the chaos saw something unexpected. By the end of 2013,

7 / That crash left traders with lessons they didn't forget. Volatility isn't a bug in crypto --- it's the cost of opportunity. Centralized exchanges can fail when you need them most. Security isn't optional. And resilience matters more than timing. Those lessons shaped every

8 / Could it happen again? Yes --- and in different ways, it already has. Crypto is still volatile. Exchanges can still fail. The difference today is better infrastructure---and more informed traders. The edge comes from preparation: •Don't keep everything on one exchange. •Use

🚨 JAPAN JUST BROKE THE ONE THING HOLDING GLOBAL MARKETS TOGETHER This is NOT another Memecoin chart. This is a STRUCTURAL FAILURE. Look at what just happened in JAPAN in a single session: •JAPAN 10Y: 2.37% (+4.8%) •JAPAN 30Y: 3.90% (+8.4%) •JAPAN 40Y: 4.22% (+7.2%) That is

8 / The MVRV ratio enters danger territory. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio compares what the market is worth to what investors actually paid. When it pushes above \~3.5--4, price is far ahead of the capital that built it. Historically, those levels have marked

11 / The takeaway: don't be the last to leave. Bull markets are powerful---and the gains are real, until the conditions change. The goal isn't to call the exact top. It's to recognize when signals start stacking and risk shifts against you. Taking profits isn't quitting. It's

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7 / Insiders start moving their coins. On-chain data reveals what price alone doesn't. When large holders begin sending coins to exchanges, it's rarely random---they're preparing liquidity. It's the equivalent of early guests leaving the party quietly, before the lights turn on.

9 / Gains start to diminish. Price still makes new highs, but each push delivers less follow-through. Rallies stall faster. Breakouts fade. Momentum isn't accelerating anymore---it's thinning. When upside shrinks while risk stays high, the market is telling you energy is being

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10 / The outside world becomes the catalyst. Late in a cycle, markets are fragile. It doesn't take much. A regulatory shift. A macro change. Higher rates, tighter liquidity, new taxes. When positioning is crowded and leverage is high, external shocks flip sentiment fast and

5 / Altcoin fever takes over. Bitcoin leads the cycle, but near market tops the focus shifts. As BTC momentum slows, capital floods into altcoins. Meme coins. Micro-caps. Projects with no real fundamentals. Everything starts pumping---simply because it can. When high-risk bets

6 / Everyone starts gambling with leverage. As prices rise, patience disappears. Traders stop thinking in percentages and start chasing life-changing returns. Leverage gets cranked up. Funding rates spike. Longs pile in as if the market can't pull back. But leverage cuts both

4 / Technical indicators start screaming exhaustion. Think of a market running uphill at full speed. Momentum feels strong, but it can't last indefinitely. When RSI stays above 70 for extended periods, it shows price is moving faster than sustainable demand. MACD often follows

9 / This is how major bull markets are built. Persistent outflows tighten available supply. Meanwhile, demand is structurally expanding through ETFs, institutional access, and global adoption. it's math.

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7 / Example scenarios: • Large outflows with no negative news → quiet confidence, long-term positioning. • Large inflows during rising fear → liquidity moving to sell, dump risk increasing. This isn't about raw numbers. It's about interpreting intent---and markets move on