Introduction: ML vs AVAX Investment Comparison
In the cryptocurrency market, Mintlayer vs Avalanche comparison has been an unavoidable topic for investors. The two not only show significant differences in market cap ranking, application scenarios, and price performance, but also represent different positioning in the crypto asset space.
Mintlayer (ML): Since its launch, it has gained market recognition for its ability to build a decentralized finance ecosystem using native Bitcoin through atomic swaps.
Avalanche (AVAX): Launched in 2020, it has been hailed as a platform for launching decentralized applications and interoperable blockchains, becoming one of the top cryptocurrencies by global trading volume and market capitalization.
This article will provide a comprehensive analysis of the investment value comparison between ML and AVAX, focusing on historical price trends, supply mechanisms, institutional adoption, technological ecosystems, and future predictions, attempting to answer the question investors care about most:
"Which is the better buy right now?"
I. Price History Comparison and Current Market Status
ML (Coin A) and AVAX (Coin B) Historical Price Trends
- 2024: ML reached its all-time high of $0.99989 on January 11, 2024.
- 2025: ML hit its all-time low of $0.01585 on September 28, 2025.
- Comparative analysis: In this market cycle, ML dropped from its peak of $0.99989 to a low of $0.01585, while AVAX has maintained a more stable price range between $28 and $29.
Current Market Situation (2025-10-10)
- ML current price: $0.03736
- AVAX current price: $28.37
- 24-hour trading volume: ML $93,179.87 vs AVAX $6,876,008.72
- Market Sentiment Index (Fear & Greed Index): 70 (Greed)
Click to view real-time prices:

II. Key Factors Affecting Investment Value of ML vs AVAX
Supply Mechanism Comparison (Tokenomics)
- Moonlight (ML): Fixed supply of 100 million tokens with 45% allocated to the Moonbeam community treasury for growth initiatives
- Avalanche (AVAX): Capped supply of 720 million tokens, with a complex distribution including staking rewards, ecosystem development funds, and team allocations
- 📌 Historical pattern: Fixed supply assets like ML typically experience less inflation pressure, while AVAX's controlled supply expansion focuses on ecosystem growth and validation rewards
Institutional Adoption and Market Applications
- Institutional holdings: AVAX has attracted more institutional interest with Ava Labs securing backing from major VCs including Polychain Capital and Andreessen Horowitz
- Enterprise adoption: AVAX has gained traction with Deloitte partnership for disaster recovery systems, while ML benefits from Polkadot ecosystem corporate partnerships
- Regulatory attitudes: Both networks operate in evolving regulatory environments, with AVAX's presence in Switzerland providing some regulatory clarity
Technical Development and Ecosystem Building
- ML technical upgrades: Integration of EVM compatibility, cross-chain messaging via XCM, and interoperability with Polkadot parachains
- AVAX technical development: Focus on subnet architecture allowing customizable blockchains, and improvements to the Snowman consensus protocol
- Ecosystem comparison: AVAX has a more mature DeFi ecosystem with established DEXs and lending platforms; ML leverages Ethereum compatibility while offering unique cross-chain capabilities through Polkadot
Macroeconomic Factors and Market Cycles
- Inflation environment performance: Both assets potentially offer inflation hedging capabilities, though neither has been tested through a complete economic cycle
- Macro monetary policy: Rate hikes have historically affected growth-oriented crypto assets like AVAX and ML, with risk-off environments favoring more established assets
- Geopolitical factors: Both networks offer borderless transactions, though AVAX's wider adoption provides more global usage currently
III. 2025-2030 Price Prediction: ML vs AVAX
Short-term Forecast (2025)
- ML: Conservative $0.033552 - $0.03728 | Optimistic $0.03728 - $0.0555472
- AVAX: Conservative $14.742 - $28.35 | Optimistic $28.35 - $36.288
Mid-term Forecast (2027)
- ML may enter a growth phase, with estimated prices ranging from $0.0318861432 to $0.06749233644
- AVAX may enter a growth phase, with estimated prices ranging from $23.97261825 to $44.12351475
- Key drivers: Institutional capital inflow, ETFs, ecosystem development
Long-term Forecast (2030)
- ML: Base scenario $0.082186228522461 - $0.101910923367851 | Optimistic scenario $0.101910923367851+
- AVAX: Base scenario $57.49560623874375 - $74.744288110366875 | Optimistic scenario $74.744288110366875+
View detailed price predictions for ML and AVAX
Disclaimer: This forecast is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
ML:
年份 |
预测最高价 |
预测平均价格 |
预测最低价 |
涨跌幅 |
2025 |
0.0555472 |
0.03728 |
0.033552 |
0 |
2026 |
0.059873544 |
0.0464136 |
0.035274336 |
24 |
2027 |
0.06749233644 |
0.053143572 |
0.0318861432 |
42 |
2028 |
0.0778101609438 |
0.06031795422 |
0.0386034907008 |
61 |
2029 |
0.095308399463022 |
0.0690640575819 |
0.040057153397502 |
84 |
2030 |
0.101910923367851 |
0.082186228522461 |
0.041914976546455 |
119 |
AVAX:
年份 |
预测最高价 |
预测平均价格 |
预测最低价 |
涨跌幅 |
2025 |
36.288 |
28.35 |
14.742 |
0 |
2026 |
37.16685 |
32.319 |
27.79434 |
13 |
2027 |
44.12351475 |
34.742925 |
23.97261825 |
22 |
2028 |
55.9951722225 |
39.433219875 |
25.23726072 |
38 |
2029 |
67.2770164287375 |
47.71419604875 |
39.125640759975 |
68 |
2030 |
74.744288110366875 |
57.49560623874375 |
40.821880429508062 |
102 |
IV. Investment Strategy Comparison: ML vs AVAX
Long-term vs Short-term Investment Strategies
- ML: Suitable for investors focused on Bitcoin interoperability and DeFi ecosystem potential
- AVAX: Suitable for investors seeking established platforms with proven scalability and institutional adoption
Risk Management and Asset Allocation
- Conservative investors: ML: 10% vs AVAX: 90%
- Aggressive investors: ML: 30% vs AVAX: 70%
- Hedging tools: Stablecoin allocation, options, cross-currency portfolios
V. Potential Risk Comparison
Market Risks
- ML: Higher volatility due to lower market cap and trading volume
- AVAX: Potential competition from other smart contract platforms
Technical Risks
- ML: Scalability, network stability as the ecosystem grows
- AVAX: Potential congestion during high network activity, security vulnerabilities in smart contracts
Regulatory Risks
- Global regulatory policies may impact both, with AVAX potentially having a slight advantage due to its presence in Switzerland
VI. Conclusion: Which Is the Better Buy?
📌 Investment Value Summary:
- ML advantages: Bitcoin interoperability, fixed supply, potential for growth in the Polkadot ecosystem
- AVAX advantages: Established ecosystem, institutional adoption, proven scalability
✅ Investment Advice:
- New investors: Consider allocating a smaller portion to ML for potential growth, with a larger allocation to AVAX for stability
- Experienced investors: Balanced approach with both assets, adjusting based on risk tolerance and market conditions
- Institutional investors: AVAX may be more suitable due to its established track record and institutional adoption
⚠️ Risk Warning: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile. This article does not constitute investment advice.
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VII. FAQ
Q1: What are the main differences between ML and AVAX in terms of supply mechanisms?
A: ML has a fixed supply of 100 million tokens, with 45% allocated to the community treasury. AVAX has a capped supply of 720 million tokens, with a more complex distribution including staking rewards and ecosystem development funds.
Q2: How do ML and AVAX compare in terms of institutional adoption?
A: AVAX has attracted more institutional interest, with backing from major VCs like Polychain Capital and Andreessen Horowitz. ML benefits from partnerships within the Polkadot ecosystem.
Q3: What are the key technical developments for ML and AVAX?
A: ML is focusing on EVM compatibility, cross-chain messaging, and Polkadot interoperability. AVAX is developing subnet architecture for customizable blockchains and improving its Snowman consensus protocol.
Q4: How do the current market prices of ML and AVAX compare?
A: As of 2025-10-10, ML's price is $0.03736, while AVAX's price is $28.37.
Q5: What are the long-term price predictions for ML and AVAX by 2030?
A: For ML, the base scenario predicts $0.082186228522461 - $0.101910923367851. For AVAX, the base scenario predicts $57.49560623874375 - $74.744288110366875.
Q6: How should investors allocate their portfolio between ML and AVAX?
A: Conservative investors might consider 10% ML and 90% AVAX, while aggressive investors might opt for 30% ML and 70% AVAX.
Q7: What are the main risks associated with investing in ML and AVAX?
A: ML faces higher volatility due to lower market cap and trading volume. AVAX risks include potential competition from other smart contract platforms and network congestion during high activity periods.