Stop loss: 100,900 (0.8% below the lower band, loss ≈ 0.4%)
▶ Trend Following Strategy
Short Breakout: If it breaks down with volume below 100,979 (BOLL lower band), the short target is 99,800 (previous low area, -1.7%)
Bullish reversal: After a strong breakout above 103,853 (BOLL middle band), pull back to go long, target 105,518 (+2.4%)
Three key risk control points
False Breakout Trap:
During the Asian market period (06:12), when the trading volume is insufficient, a breakthrough of EMA5 (101,738) requires increased volume (Vol > 200)
Indicator repair risk:
Before the MACD golden cross (DIF crosses above DEA), the rebound height is limited.
Leverage Protection:
Contract suggestion ≤3x leverage to prevent price spikes to 99,800 (liquidation zone)
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#BTC Long and Short Strategy Deployment
▶ Pullback Long Strategy (Light Position Test Order)
Trigger condition:
① The 15-minute K-line closed above 101,500 (stabilizing above the lower track)
② RSI(6) breaks 32 + KDJ golden cross (K > D)
Action:
Build positions in the range of 101,300-101,500 (≤2% position)
Target 101,738 (EMA5, +0.48%) → 103,036 (EMA15, +1.7%)
Stop loss: 100,900 (0.8% below the lower band, loss ≈ 0.4%)
▶ Trend Following Strategy
Short Breakout: If it breaks down with volume below 100,979 (BOLL lower band), the short target is 99,800 (previous low area, -1.7%)
Bullish reversal: After a strong breakout above 103,853 (BOLL middle band), pull back to go long, target 105,518 (+2.4%)
Three key risk control points
False Breakout Trap:
During the Asian market period (06:12), when the trading volume is insufficient, a breakthrough of EMA5 (101,738) requires increased volume (Vol > 200)
Indicator repair risk:
Before the MACD golden cross (DIF crosses above DEA), the rebound height is limited.
Leverage Protection:
Contract suggestion ≤3x leverage to prevent price spikes to 99,800 (liquidation zone)
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