The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in June is 97.4%, and the possibility of a rate cut in July is emerging.

On June 8, according to data from the data platform “The Federal Reserve (FED) Watch”, there are 10 days remaining until the next FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve (FED), with a 2.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in June and a 97.4% probability of maintaining the interest rate.

The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the interest rate unchanged until July is 83.3%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 16.3%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.4%.