The Conference Board’s Employment Trend Index (ETI) fell further in May, falling to 107.49 from 108.00. ETI continued to slow in May compared to the beginning of 2025. But despite the general cautious approach to tariffs, the ETI is currently above the 2017-19 average, suggesting that the labor market remains on solid footing overall.
The advisory committee notes that the gap between hard data and soft data continues to exist. Although uncertainty may dampen business and consumer confidence, the May employment data indicates that hiring continues to keep the labor market roughly balanced. However, we are beginning to see some industries being eroded, which may suggest that the pressures from tariff changes are beginning to manifest.
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The U.S. employment index continued to decline in May, but the fundamentals of the labor market remain solid.
The Conference Board’s Employment Trend Index (ETI) fell further in May, falling to 107.49 from 108.00. ETI continued to slow in May compared to the beginning of 2025. But despite the general cautious approach to tariffs, the ETI is currently above the 2017-19 average, suggesting that the labor market remains on solid footing overall.
The advisory committee notes that the gap between hard data and soft data continues to exist. Although uncertainty may dampen business and consumer confidence, the May employment data indicates that hiring continues to keep the labor market roughly balanced. However, we are beginning to see some industries being eroded, which may suggest that the pressures from tariff changes are beginning to manifest.