According to a new indicator analyzing Bitcoin’s long term growth cycles, if the BTC price follows its current cycle, it could rise by approximately 120% to reach 205,000 dollars in 2025.
Although short-term indicators are often the focus in the cryptocurrency market, understanding the fundamental cycles that determine long-term price movements is much more critical. CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán shared the indicator he developed to understand Bitcoin’s long-term price performance, called Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend. This metric clearly outlines the cycles where BTC’s price consolidates for a year after showing an increase for three consecutive years.
According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in the third year of its typical growth cycle and could reach approximately $205,097, gaining around 120% in value from the level of $93,226 at the beginning of this year by the end of the year. If this prediction comes true, the year 2025 will be the peak point of a cycle in which Bitcoin has closed the last three years with consecutive increases.
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(# Three rises, one consolidation
When examining the price movements of Bitcoin, it is noteworthy that each four-year cycle consists of three years of increase followed by one year of consolidation. This situation emerges as an important factor shaping the market, coinciding with the halving of BTC’s block reward )halving(.
This cyclical movement is also supported by various metrics such as Realized Cap )Realized Market Value###. The fact that Realized Cap is expected to reach new record levels in 2025 also strengthens the long term bullish thesis.
Analysts state that those who invest in Bitcoin with long term strategies, without getting caught up in short term volatility, can make healthier investment decisions by taking advantage of such cyclical indicators.
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CryptoQuant Analyst Sets Jaw-Dropping Price Target for Bitcoin in the Short Term! - Coin Bulletin
According to a new indicator analyzing Bitcoin’s long term growth cycles, if the BTC price follows its current cycle, it could rise by approximately 120% to reach 205,000 dollars in 2025.
Although short-term indicators are often the focus in the cryptocurrency market, understanding the fundamental cycles that determine long-term price movements is much more critical. CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán shared the indicator he developed to understand Bitcoin’s long-term price performance, called Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend. This metric clearly outlines the cycles where BTC’s price consolidates for a year after showing an increase for three consecutive years.
According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in the third year of its typical growth cycle and could reach approximately $205,097, gaining around 120% in value from the level of $93,226 at the beginning of this year by the end of the year. If this prediction comes true, the year 2025 will be the peak point of a cycle in which Bitcoin has closed the last three years with consecutive increases.
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(# Three rises, one consolidation
When examining the price movements of Bitcoin, it is noteworthy that each four-year cycle consists of three years of increase followed by one year of consolidation. This situation emerges as an important factor shaping the market, coinciding with the halving of BTC’s block reward )halving(.
This cyclical movement is also supported by various metrics such as Realized Cap )Realized Market Value###. The fact that Realized Cap is expected to reach new record levels in 2025 also strengthens the long term bullish thesis.
Analysts state that those who invest in Bitcoin with long term strategies, without getting caught up in short term volatility, can make healthier investment decisions by taking advantage of such cyclical indicators.