🚨 U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Delayed? Here's What Traders Are Betting On
The September jobs report was supposed to drop October 3, but a government shutdown might throw a wrench in that plan. Forex options traders are already front-running this—they're piling into Oct 10 and Oct 17 expiries, betting those are the new release dates.
Oct 10 is getting the most action. Why? It's closest to the original date, and right now the entire FX market is dead quiet (volatility at floor levels), so any surprise could cause a rip. Traders are basically paying extra volatility premiums just to have exposure if the data does drop then.
Bottom line: If the jobs number gets pushed back, don't sleep on those two dates. The options market is already pricing in the chaos.
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🚨 U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Delayed? Here's What Traders Are Betting On
The September jobs report was supposed to drop October 3, but a government shutdown might throw a wrench in that plan. Forex options traders are already front-running this—they're piling into Oct 10 and Oct 17 expiries, betting those are the new release dates.
Oct 10 is getting the most action. Why? It's closest to the original date, and right now the entire FX market is dead quiet (volatility at floor levels), so any surprise could cause a rip. Traders are basically paying extra volatility premiums just to have exposure if the data does drop then.
Bottom line: If the jobs number gets pushed back, don't sleep on those two dates. The options market is already pricing in the chaos.