That prediction platform works well for political outcomes, but tech forecasts? Not so much.
When you see 98% probability on AI developments, that's a red flag. The market clearly isn't accounting for the actual speed of innovation in this space. Technology shifts way faster than those odds suggest – feels like traders are still pricing things with traditional timelines in mind.
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That prediction platform works well for political outcomes, but tech forecasts? Not so much.
When you see 98% probability on AI developments, that's a red flag. The market clearly isn't accounting for the actual speed of innovation in this space. Technology shifts way faster than those odds suggest – feels like traders are still pricing things with traditional timelines in mind.