I took a look at BTC, which is currently hovering around $91400. Pulling up a 4-hour chart, it’s clear that throughout November, it has been bouncing back and forth in the range of 89000 to 104000. Recently, it has noticeably squeezed down to the middle-lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and it does seem a bit fatigued in the short term.
The Bollinger Bands are quite tight, and this often indicates a potential change in trend. If it can break above and hold the middle band, a rebound may be coming; however, if it can't even hold the lower band, then we need to be cautious about a downward movement.
The KDJ three values are currently fluctuating around 50, which means that bulls and bears are in a stalemate, neither overbought nor oversold. The K line is slightly pressing down on the D line, indicating a slight willingness to go long, but this signal is too weak to make a judgment based solely on this. The good news is that the MACD histogram has turned positive, and short-term momentum is warming up, presenting a technical opportunity for a rebound.
The practical approach gives two directions:
If it pulls back to the 89800 line, you can take a small position to try going long, to see if you can catch up to 93200, but you must set a stop loss below 89000; if it breaks, just accept it.
Conversely, if the rebound touches the resistance level near 93300, consider entering a short position, aiming for 88500, with a stop loss placed above 94000.
$BTC At this position, to be honest, it's just about waiting for direction, don't heavily bet on one side.
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ArbitrageBot
· 11-22 08:30
The Bollinger Bands are so tight, it feels like it's about to explode. I'm just worried that if it breaks 89000, it'll plunge straight down.
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AlwaysMissingTops
· 11-21 19:41
The 89 to 104 range has been consolidating for half a month. Right now, this position is a 50-50 situation. Just wait for a breakout—don’t try to catch the bottom or the top.
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ColdWalletAnxiety
· 11-20 21:00
When the Bollinger Bands tighten, be careful of a crash at night. How about testing the waters at 89800?
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RektButStillHere
· 11-19 11:18
The trading range is so annoying, it's been grinding in the range of 89 to 104 for more than half a month, short-term is not interesting at all.
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OldLeekNewSickle
· 11-19 11:09
The tightening of the Bollinger Bands indicates a market turning point, I've heard this trick too many times, in the end, it still resulted in play people for suckers.
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MEVvictim
· 11-19 11:04
The Bollinger Bands are so tight, it feels like it's holding back a big move. Will it break up or crash down? To be honest, I can't see through it.
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ContractCollector
· 11-19 11:03
The Bollinger Bands are so tight and still grinding, it feels like a big market movement is brewing.
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GasFeeSobber
· 11-19 10:56
When the Bollinger Bands tighten, I love to play this trap, making people feel anxious.
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DefiEngineerJack
· 11-19 10:51
well actually, if you're looking at bollinger band compression on the 4h, you'd know this volatility crush typically precedes directional moves—it's just empirically documented. but ngl the KDJ reading at 50 is kinda mid, not enough signal strength to commit real capital tbh. macd histogram flip is technically speaking the more non-trivial indicator here imo.
#特朗普撤销农业产品关税 11.19 Bitcoin evening review
I took a look at BTC, which is currently hovering around $91400. Pulling up a 4-hour chart, it’s clear that throughout November, it has been bouncing back and forth in the range of 89000 to 104000. Recently, it has noticeably squeezed down to the middle-lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and it does seem a bit fatigued in the short term.
The Bollinger Bands are quite tight, and this often indicates a potential change in trend. If it can break above and hold the middle band, a rebound may be coming; however, if it can't even hold the lower band, then we need to be cautious about a downward movement.
The KDJ three values are currently fluctuating around 50, which means that bulls and bears are in a stalemate, neither overbought nor oversold. The K line is slightly pressing down on the D line, indicating a slight willingness to go long, but this signal is too weak to make a judgment based solely on this. The good news is that the MACD histogram has turned positive, and short-term momentum is warming up, presenting a technical opportunity for a rebound.
The practical approach gives two directions:
If it pulls back to the 89800 line, you can take a small position to try going long, to see if you can catch up to 93200, but you must set a stop loss below 89000; if it breaks, just accept it.
Conversely, if the rebound touches the resistance level near 93300, consider entering a short position, aiming for 88500, with a stop loss placed above 94000.
$BTC At this position, to be honest, it's just about waiting for direction, don't heavily bet on one side.