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💥 Trump Trade skirmish before the 2026 midterm elections
Macroeconomic Background
The government shutdown and high interest rates have caused a decline in non-US markets and crypto assets. The implementation of pro-crypto policies by the Trump administration has not met expectations, resulting in party division, making it difficult for institutions to increase their holdings in the short term.
Political risk
In 2026, there will be a full re-election of the House of Representatives, and the Republican Party's tolerance for error is low. Trump and Besant may push for loose fiscal/monetary/tariff policies, but if they fail, crypto assets will face regulatory pressure again.
Trading Ideas
BTC: Long at the left side chip peak of 80,000-82,000, short at the right side when it rebounds to 90,000.
ETH: Long at 2,600 on the left side, short at 3,000+ on the right side.
Pay attention to the negative premium in the US region and the trends of TWAP/VWAP; observe first before entering the market.
Trading should be trend-based, with strict stop-losses, and avoid blind betting.
💡 Summary: Short-term pressure is high, but the moving average support + policy expectations provide a rebound opportunity. Operate in accordance with the trend + hold positions for the most stability.
#CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Trump