#加密货币市场动态 BTC rebounded from $80,000 to $87,000, and this rally has made many sidelines observers start to feel tempted. However, if you calmly look at a few key signals, you might come to a different judgment.

Let's start with the technicals. When the AHR999 indicator previously fell below the 0.5 bottoming range, it was mostly short-term funds entering the market, not long-term allocation funds. More importantly, the 50-week moving average—a trendline that has never been broken since the start of the bull market—was breached this time. Historical data shows that breaking this moving average is often accompanied by structural changes in the market.

Looking at resistance levels, $100,000 is a clear barrier. Above $87,000, there is a large amount of trapped positions from previous highs, and these holders are likely to look for opportunities to exit and minimize losses during the rebound, creating real selling pressure.

What if the price does rebound to the $95,000–$98,000 range? That might be a window to observe. However, you need to control your position size—don’t go all-in betting on a trend reversal. The market never changes direction just because we hope it will.

There’s also a psychological trap to watch out for: if you didn’t sell at the top, don’t count on averaging down your cost through buying into the rebound. The higher the rebound, the stronger the desire for trapped holders to exit. Chasing the price at this time can easily turn you into the one holding the bag.

In a bear market, waiting is more important than acting. The real bottom isn’t caught by rushing in—it’s formed slowly over time. The old saying “better to miss out than to make a mistake” is especially true in a choppy market. Instead of chasing prices, it’s better to wait until the trend becomes clear before making decisions. $BTC