2025-11-25 02:54:17

#美联储恢复降息节奏 Last night's pump looks like a rebound on the surface, but the logic is very clear: one is that the expectation of interest rate cuts in December suddenly heated up, and the other is that a certain political figure's attitude towards China has softened, as can be seen on Twitter. However, neither of these is key.

The current market is neither pricing in a rate cut in December nor focusing on geopolitical risks. What is truly being bet on is the turning point in global liquidity that may arrive in 2025 — that is the major variable that can lead to a revaluation of all assets.

If you still don't understand this underlying logic, let me say it again: Don't focus on the price fluctuations in front of you. Market pricing is always six months to a year ahead. There's no need to guess how things will go tomorrow or the day after; the key is to see where the funds are flowing and follow the right direction. $BTC $ETH

BTC-3.68%

ETH-4.94%

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ContractBugHunter

· 11-28 00:21

In simple terms, it's about watching the liquidity drama of 2025; it's still too early to buy the dip.

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ThesisInvestor

· 11-27 19:41

The real story will be the liquidity turning point in 2025; those who are still entangled in short-term fluctuations have already been played people for suckers.

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WalletManager

· 11-25 03:21

The liquidity turning point in 2025 is indeed crucial; big funds have already been positioning themselves quietly. By the way, have you set up multisig wallet isolation for your BTC and ETH? If this wave really hits, the risk factor will be very high. I agree that the market prices things in six months to a year in advance, but the key is still to watch on-chain data—the movements of the whales can't be faked.

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AirdropFatigue

· 11-25 03:20

The 2025 liquidity turning point is indeed crucial, but too many people still haven't gotten this logic yet. --- You're right, stop staring at the candlestick charts all day—tracking capital flows is what really matters. --- This round is definitely pricing in next year's events; everyone chasing the top now just has a gambler's mentality. --- I do believe in pricing in things six months to a year ahead, but this time the signals don't feel that clear. --- Honestly, how many retail investors actually understand this underlying logic? Most are still looking at yesterday's gains. --- Wait, so according to this logic, should I be adjusting my current positions? --- The liquidity turning point depends on the Fed's stance, doesn't it? --- Exactly, don't get fooled by short-term emotions—following the right direction is the most important thing. --- I just want to ask, why are the signals so vague now when they were so clear a couple of months ago? --- This analysis is interesting, but there are too many market variables—who can really grasp it all?

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AllInAlice

· 11-25 02:57

Really, there are still people fixated on tomorrow's Candlestick... The liquidity turning point should have been understood long ago.

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HalfIsEmpty

· 11-25 02:54

Liquidity turning point in 2025? I see most people are still chasing yesterday's rise. It's indeed important to see the right direction, but to be honest, how many retail investors can really see the true flow of funds? This logic makes sense, but it requires a bit of insight to execute. Wait, are you saying that there is still no pricing for the December rate cut? Doesn't that mean there's an opportunity? Pricing six months to a year in advance... I feel like every time I say this, I end up buying in the wrong direction.

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