#加密市场回调 The US stock market and the major indices suddenly surged! What's really going on behind the scenes?

First, the conclusion - the direction from the Federal Reserve has changed. The probability of a rate cut in December has soared from 50% to around 80%. This is not just a rumor; core members like Powell, Jefferson, and Williams have recently voiced their support for a rate cut. The CME's "FedWatch" tool data also confirms that market expectations have shifted towards a more accommodative stance.

So what? U.S. stocks and gold have risen simultaneously, and BTC has rebounded strongly following the macro trends, directly surging to $89,000 in the short term.

Looking at the market reaction again. Overall sentiment has clearly warmed up, FOMO sentiment in the BTC community has begun to ferment, and a large number of bullish positions have flooded into the options market, while the pressure from ETF capital outflows has also eased significantly. Some analysts believe that bottom signals are emerging, but others remind not to rush into an all-in strategy, as there are still risks of a pullback to be wary of.

The changes in liquidity are more intuitive: the selling pressure from US funds has weakened, spot buying has become active again, option trading volume has increased, and there are clear characteristics of short-term capital inflow.

In terms of operation, BTC is rebounding in the short term amidst fluctuations, with the bottom range focusing on the 80,000 defense line, and the rebound pressure to watch at the 96,000 position. It is recommended to operate in waves; if it truly rebounds to the pressure level, consider taking profits in batches, but if it falls below 80,000, the strategy needs to be reassessed.

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