#美国非农就业数据表现优于预期 at 21:30 tonight, a critical moment

U.S. retail sales and PPI data are about to be released. These two figures will shake the entire risk asset market in a short period of time.

What can retail data tell us first? If the numbers weaken, it means that the consumer side is starting to tire, and the signal of economic cooling is obvious. This is a dilemma for the Federal Reserve, but it could be a turning point for the cryptocurrency market - expectations for interest rate cuts will be reignited.

What about the PPI? If the Producer Price Index cools down, it indicates that upstream cost pressures are easing. This will transmit along the industrial chain and ultimately reflect in the inflation data.

Putting the two together: weak retail coupled with a cooling PPI opens a window for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision. Assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum may see a wave of liquidity expectation recovery in the short term.

But this is not to make you bet on the direction.

After the data is released, the market's first reaction is often emotional. If there is a rapid surge, don't rush to chase—wait for a pullback and observe the support level. If there is an instant drop, don't panic—see if the key level can hold; if it does, it could actually be an opportunity.

The volatility will be high tonight. Control your positions well and set your stop-loss clearly. Don't let a single data point crash your account.

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