#数字货币市场回升 019283746465657483920111.26 Evening Observation: Strategy Layout before US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP)

Tonight at 21:30, the US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data will be released, and this timing usually brings significant volatility to the market. Although there are currently signs of a technical rebound, the overall bearish pattern has not changed. The key tonight is to see if the data will break the current range of fluctuations.

From the four-hour cycle, the price has just touched the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and has started to rebound, but the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating strong hesitation in the market. A directional breakout may occur in the evening, so any operations should have stop-loss settings, and don't be overly optimistic. The one-hour chart shows the price stuck in a range, with support and resistance very clear. Entering the market now is like gambling, so it’s better to wait for a clear direction before taking action.

Considering the potential impact of technical analysis and US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP), my personal judgment is that there may be a rally in the evening, but this rebound may not be sustained—it is likely to be a false signal. If a rebound does occur, it may actually present an opportunity for a counter-trade.

- On the BTC side: If it rebounds to the 87700-88200 area, consider shorting in batches, with targets looking at 86400 to 85000.
- Regarding ETH: A rebound to the 2950-2980 range can also set up a short position, with a target of 2860-2800.

The volatility often amplifies sharply when the US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data is released, so it is advisable to set limit orders in advance to avoid being caught off guard by a sudden market acceleration. Additionally, controlling your position size is crucial—under the current conditions, preserving capital is more practical than aggressively chasing profits. During unfavorable market conditions, stability is more important than anything else.