#ETH走势分析 The market sentiment can change abruptly. Just seven days ago, everyone was still discussing "interest rate cuts would have to wait until January of next year," but now the narrative has shifted dramatically—an action might happen in December. Even the major Wall Street banks are adjusting their forecasts, with JPMorgan directly changing its stance: a cut in December followed by another in January. The speed of this turnaround is indeed surprising.

What’s the rush? The answer lies in the internal voices of the Federal Reserve. Influential figures like Williams, Waller, and Daly have recently made statements, with a core message: if this continues, the employment data may not hold up. The market immediately sensed the signal, and the probability of a rate cut in December soared from less than 30% a week ago to over 80% now.

But the script won't be that simple. Logan from Dallas is clearly opposed, citing that the inflation issue hasn't been completely resolved. There are even rumors that this FOMC vote may end in a deadlock; if the votes are tied, interest rates will remain unchanged—if that happens, it would be exciting.

Wall Street has also split into two factions. Goldman Sachs bets that there will be movement in December, but Morgan Stanley and Bank of America believe it may just be "talking dovishly while doing nothing," meaning that they will say things first and then see how to act based on the situation.

If the rate is really cut, the US stock market and the crypto market will likely continue to rise, as gold has already reacted in advance. However, some people remind us: the market sentiment is currently too full, and if the rate isn't cut in December, the pullback could be very sharp.

So, do you think there will really be a cut in December?

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