#美联储恢复降息进程 Is your Holdings still above water?

It's rare to see a full screen of green numbers these days. But don't celebrate too early; the downtrend channel of $BTC hasn't finished at all. Those shouting about a 'V-shaped reversal' should just be listened to. The rules of the market have changed - it used to be about who made the most profit, but now it's about who loses the least. Surviving means you're a winner.

The policy front is just a joke. Government shutdown? Plummeting. Government reopening? Continuing to fall. The expectation of interest rate cuts comes and it falls, not cutting rates is even a downward trend.

This is the current state of the crypto market, there are pitfalls everywhere.

The Pareto principle is once again validated: 80% of retail investors have been repeatedly harvested to the point of numbness, forced to exit the market in losses. The remaining 20% are also swaying in agony.

The current market characteristics can be summed up in four words:

Liquidity is exhausted. Funds are either fleeing or have already been deeply trapped. Every rebound feels like a brief flash of light, unable to rise more than a few points before stalling; but when it falls? It's incredibly smooth.

Continuous wash trading has pushed traders' mentality to the brink of collapse. In this environment, the strategy must be clear:

① If the trend is judged to continue to deteriorate:

Whenever there is a rebound, one should decisively reduce their Holdings and prioritize protecting the principal. The market can be cruel enough to make one question life itself, but when the principal is gone, there is truly nothing left.

② If you still believe in future opportunities:

Then keep a calm mindset, don't be led by short-term fluctuations, and patiently wait for a real stabilization signal. Of course, the premise is not to create lower lows again.

Poor market conditions are not the most fatal; what is fatal is stubbornly holding on in the wrong direction.

It's not about who is bolder now, but rather who is more clear-headed.