I opened a $BTC short order yesterday, and now there's still a profit of 600 dollars on the books. At its peak, I saw unrealized gains of over 3000, but I didn't dare to close it - this operation was mainly based on a few judgments:

Let's talk about timing first. During Thanksgiving, institutions in Europe and America are on holiday, and there isn't much large capital flowing in and out of the market. This kind of situation is actually suitable for observing the pure relationship between volume and price, without having to guess the intentions of the main players.

I won't draw those fancy lines on the technical level. To be honest, the analysis that connects the highs and lows can now be produced in bulk by AI. I've talked about some deeper technical details before, but I found that most people either can't understand them or simply don't want to learn.

In simple terms: the large cycle has shown area divergence, and the small cycle has hit the top twice without breaking through. With these two signals combined, I think the probability of a short-term adjustment is high.

Position control is okay, not too heavy. Next, just continue to observe, anyway, it's not hindsight——the logic of this order has not changed since opening.