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#香港稳定币监管框架 Bitcoin is currently experiencing a rare triple squeeze: the holdings structure, sentiment indicators, and macro policies are applying pressure simultaneously. Implied volatility has sharply declined, and the market's defensive demand against big dumps has noticeably cooled, yet the price remains stuck below historical resistance levels.



What is more concerning is that the on-chain cost basis indicators are approaching a critical threshold—this line has often been the watershed between "panic selling" and "deep value zone" in the past. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has released dovish signals, raising expectations for interest rate cuts; however, historical data repeatedly proves that this is precisely the period when most traders are prone to pitfalls.

Seasonal patterns point in one direction, while trend structures suggest another possibility. The battle between bulls and bears has reached a fever pitch, and the upcoming movements may exceed conventional expectations.

$BTC $ETH
BTC6.21%
ETH8.85%
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FlashLoanKingvip
· 12-01 11:52
This wave really can't hold on any longer, will that line break or not?
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metaverse_hermitvip
· 12-01 11:32
Stuck below the resistance level, this wave really feels a bit suffocating. --- As soon as the dovish signals come out, everyone wants to buy the dip, but the result is often Rekt, history just repeats this way. --- Is the on-chain cost indicator about to break? That's the real focus, not these superficial data. --- Seasonality and trends are at odds, I hate this kind of ambiguity the most; whoever can accurately predict will win. --- If the triple pressure can still hold steady, it shows there’s something below, just see how long it can hold. --- How many people has the Fed's rhetoric deceived? It’s always like this. --- The intense competition sounds nice, but in reality, no one knows how to move, retail investors can only sway along.
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SandwichHuntervip
· 12-01 06:14
Stuck below the resistance level, is it really trapped this time? To be honest, I've seen the dovish signal trick too many times, and every time someone ends up stumbling. We need to keep a close eye on the cost line approaching the threshold; history tends to repeat itself. The volatility being this low makes me a bit uneasy; it's too quiet, something feels off. Seasonality and trends are clashing; it seems this wave is indeed going to lead to a big market movement. It's surprising that people are still entering the market under this triple pressure; it shows a tough exterior but a soft heart. On-chain data doesn't lie, but traders' greed doesn't lie either; that's the part that's hard to understand. I feel like the next move could really exceed expectations, but which direction it will exceed is still up for debate.
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GasFeeVictimvip
· 11-29 04:42
To be honest, this wave is a bit strange, the volatility has cooled down but it makes people more anxious... --- The times when historical data slaps you in the face the most are when you hear signals from the PI, stepping into pits is the norm. --- Stuck under the resistance level and unable to move is an absolute description; it feels like it could either crash or pump at any second. --- Seasonal vs trend structure battling, I just want to know who wins... --- If that watershed is really crossed, the retail investors will have to cut loss again, right? --- When the Fed makes a dovish move, I reverse my operations, this pattern is too obvious. --- Triple squeeze? Are we playing the Three-Body Problem here? Just wait to see the show, everyone. --- Isn't the heated debate between long and short just saying that nobody knows which way to go? Haha. --- On-chain cost basis is super sensitive; if it crashes again, retail investors will have to rug pull.
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A1isvip
· 11-28 12:28
Rare triple pressure: structure, sentiment, and macro at inflection points. Low volatility + trapped price = coiled spring. Break above resistance ignites rally; break below tests value zone. Trade levels, not expectations.
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MentalWealthHarvestervip
· 11-28 12:19
Oh no, it's that time again when traders love to step into pitfalls, the dovish signals have been played out. --- On-chain cost line approaching? I feel like this wave is going to be even more intense than historical data. --- The triple attack sounds fierce, but the price just won't budge, that's the most terrifying part. --- Seasonality and trends are going against each other, both long positions and short positions shouldn't be too arrogant, there might be tricks ahead. --- Interest rate cut expectations have risen, but the ones who really make money are always the ones operating in reverse. --- Implied volatility is so low, it feels like the demand for big dump defense is gone, but it seems someone is setting a trap. --- The resistance level has been stuck for so long, it will either break through or crash hard, we'll see who can't hold on. --- This wave of signals from the Fed feels like a pitfall, those who have stepped in know. --- Cost base indicators approaching a critical line? How did it go last time this happened? --- Goodness, both long and short are at odds, retail investors are just waiting to be played for suckers.
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CryptoWageSlavevip
· 11-28 12:16
This wave really feels bad, stuck below the resistance level and not moving at all, feels like being trapped. Dovish signals are always a pitfall, history has told us that. Who will win between bulls and bears? It feels like blood will spill soon. Interest rate cut expectations rising? I feel like it’s actually playing people for suckers. On-chain indicators are approaching that line, do we really go all in this time? Or continue to lay flat? Seasonality and trend are inconsistent, who can understand this? Just bet and that's it. Holy shit, the triple whammy is no joke, it feels like getting beaten up. Cost basis indicators are always a mirror to see the truth, it’s a critical moment again. If defensive demand cools down, it’s game over, which means no one cares anymore. Volatility being this low is really strange, usually it should be moving by now.
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MEVHunterWangvip
· 11-28 12:12
This wave really got stuck, feels like it will either explode or break through, there's not much meaning in between.
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Anon32942vip
· 11-28 12:12
The resistance level is stuck tight, feels like another episode is coming? Why is the dovish signal still falling? --- Is the on-chain cost basis really going to break through that line? It’s always so scary like this. --- Seasonal patterns are slapping the trend structure in the face, who’s winning this time... --- Triple squeeze sounds tough, luckily I’m not in a Full Position. --- When the Fed goes dovish, it’s a trap, I just want to ask who hasn’t been trapped this year. --- Historical pressure level, feels like the guy writing the article is even more anxious than I am.
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GateUser-4745f9cevip
· 11-28 12:07
This wave is indeed bizarre, it feels like I've been trapped.
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