The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in December has surged to 86.4%, and this number is not to be taken lightly. The market has already provided an answer through capital flows, and expectations for liquidity easing are fermenting.

Looking back at history reveals a pattern: during the interest rate cut cycle in 1998, tech stocks surged, and in 2020, with massive liquidity injections, BTC skyrocketed from $5000 to $65000. Interest rate cuts → Liquidity increases → Risk assets benefit; this logical chain has proven effective in the crypto market.

However, it must be made clear that institutions have already started laying out their strategies. While retail investors are still observing, smart money has already begun accumulating at lower levels. But one must also be cautious: speculative expectations often run ahead of policy announcements, and when the official announcement comes, it may be the turning point where "good news has been fully priced in."

My own approach is as follows: enter the market with a small position at the current price, without chasing highs; if it pulls back to around 80000, I will consider adding to my position in batches; the stop-loss line is set at 78000, as protecting the principal is the first principle.

The expectation of interest rate cuts is like a countdown, but those who can truly benefit are the ones who have already prepared while the market hesitates. As for how high this round of market momentum can push BTC? One hundred fifty thousand? Two hundred thousand? Or even higher? The market will provide the answer.

That being said, these are just personal opinions and do not constitute any investment advice. I hope everyone buys valuable coins and sells at high points.