Why do I firmly believe that $ASTER can reach the position of 100U? Let me explain the calculations clearly.

Many people's first reaction is to question: With a terrifying total of 8 billion still being unlocked crazily, what is the reason for the rise?

But these people are selectively blind - the total amount of $HYPE is also 1 billion, and it is also in the unlocking process, with the unlocked coins directly going into the pockets of the team and developers.

What is the more critical difference? The coins unlocked by ASTER either flow into the secondary market for pricing or are airdropped to community users. These are two completely different distribution logics.

In the short term, it is undeniable that ASTER has experienced price fluctuations due to retail investors taking profits. However, it has designed a high-frequency buyback and burn mechanism, which essentially creates a buffer zone – the price will oscillate and consolidate, but will not experience a cliff-like collapse.

The whole cycle is roughly as follows: new coins unlocked for airdrop → some retail investors sell off to cash out → short-term price correction → project team initiates buyback and burn → long-term chips gradually stabilize. This is a dynamic balancing process.

Looking at the situation on the HYPE side: a total supply of 1 billion, currently 334 million circulating in the ecological pool, with more than 600 million locked up, belonging to the team/developers and the so-called treasury/ecological pool.

Note a detail: HYPE has not gone through any institutional financing rounds, only the founding team is involved.

This structure, in my opinion, is a typical "founder's enrichment scheme" — once the price is pushed to a certain high point, the team can easily offload in batches and cash out, leaving retail investors to pick up the pieces with nowhere to cry.

You're drooling over HYPE's short-term gains, but the team might just take the whole project away from you.

On the other hand, ASTER, no matter how lacking it may be, is still a key project in the ecosystem of a major exchange, backed by investment endorsement from a prominent figure in the industry.

This big shot not only holds an advisory position in ASTER but has also publicly stated multiple times that he holds an ASTER position...

To put it simply: if ASTER goes down and runs away, the one who suffers the most is that big shot's personal credibility, his reputation will collapse, and the tokens of the entire ecosystem will suffer as a result.

This is the underlying logic of why I, as a "conservative" investor, dare to heavily invest in ASTER.

ASTER and the ecosystem behind it are interdependent; one thrives, all thrive, one suffers, all suffer. The worst-case scenario is simply poor project management, but there will be big players backing it up— even in such extreme cases, holding ASTER long-term and seeing it rise to 10U is not a big problem, and there is still a 10x potential.

How does it compare to HYPE?

Once fully unlocked, the market capitalization will exceed 30 billion USD. Even if everything goes smoothly, the team doesn't run away, and the ecosystem really takes off, its ceiling will only be 100 USD, at a trillion market cap level, which means a growth potential of 3 times.

With a minimum of 10 times and a maximum potential of 100 times for ASTER, compared to HYPE's 3 times potential against the peak, this multiple-choice question doesn't require a high IQ.

To put it another way, even if you really don't have faith in ASTER, there are still options like $UNI in the market!

Leading position in DEX, backed by the Ethereum ecosystem, with the founder's halo effect!

From the perspectives of both stability and growth, it can completely outperform HYPE by several streets.

With so many choices on the market, why go for HYPE.

What sounds nice is called "no constraints from investors"; what sounds harsh is "convenient to liquidate and run away at any time."