Trump's tariff agenda is shaking market sentiment. Prediction market data from Kalshi reveals traders are deeply skeptical—only 21% believe the Supreme Court will uphold these trade measures. That's a striking vote of no confidence. The legal battle ahead could reshape trade policy, and right now, the smart money isn't betting on presidential victory. Market participants are clearly pricing in significant political and legal headwinds. This uncertainty is exactly the kind of macro risk that ripples through traditional and crypto markets alike.