2025-12-25 11:20:25

2025 is coming to an end, and the controversy over Bitcoin's direction in 2026 is growing louder. As of December 25th, the BTC price has hovered around $87,000, with light trading volume and little volatility. Additionally, $23 billion worth of options contracts are about to expire, which has somewhat constrained both bullish and bearish forces.

What do the bulls say? Represented by industry insiders like Arthur Hayes, they have given quite aggressive targets—predicting BTC will surge to $251,000 by the end of this year. But honestly, with less than a week remaining, this goal is essentially wishful thinking. Their expectations for 2026 are even more outrageous: $575,000. What's the core support? Liquidity abundance brought by the Federal Reserve possibly cutting interest rates.

On the other side, cautious voices are also strong. Anthony Pompliano stated in a media interview that the Q4 market this year did not show the traditional upward trend seen in previous years, and the probability of a 70-80% crash in 2026 is actually quite low. Some analysts are more conservative, setting their sights on a $60,000 price level.

In fact, such disagreements are normal. If everyone were bullish, that would be dangerous—the bubble would inflate and burst, causing the greatest harm. The market needs these long and short battles to stay lively.

BTC0.18%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
3
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

LightningAllInHero

· 9h ago

575,000? Arthur Hayes, this guy really dares to say that. I just want to know if he's going all in again. Hayes' prediction is outrageous, but our casino needs such voices. 251,000 by the end of the year? Wake up, that's the trick of the wealth code. Pomp is right, not so many people are foolish enough to be bullish at the same time, that's what keeps the market alive. $23 billion in options pressure, who dares to really move? Liquidity is abundant thanks to rate cuts? Let's wait until the Fed actually cuts, it's easy to say so. This kind of tug-of-war situation is the most exciting; both bears and bulls are anxious. I just want to see who breaks first. 87,000 at this price level is too awkward. Is the sideways movement for the explosion in 2026 or rat poison? Uncertain voices are a sign that the market isn't dead. Only everyone being bullish is truly dangerous. A conservative price of 60,000 sounds more reliable, but I still want to bet on that wave of madness. 575,000 is basically a dream, but sometimes dreams do come true.

View OriginalReply0

GasWaster69

· 9h ago

575,000? Bro, this number is way out of control, I'd rather just watch my dreams. Hayes, that guy really dares to say it—Federal Reserve cuts interest rates and you think you can fly? Come on. In a calm market, who dares to move? 23 billion in options are holding things down. Seriously, both bulls and bears have valid points—that's what a real market looks like. Wait, is 60,000 really too conservative?

View OriginalReply0

MetaverseMortgage

· 9h ago

575,000 dollars? Hayes, this guy really dares to say that, how can the rate cut benefits be so huge? But speaking of which, having 23 billion in options hanging over your head... still feels a bit oppressive. If Arthur's prediction this time really comes true, I'll just lie flat. Hayes is always dreaming, never waking up. Light trading just means waiting for something, who can give a little motivation? 575,000... still dreaming big, why not aim for a million? Haha. Can a rate cut really save the market? I doubt it. Both bulls and bears are at a standstill, that’s the real picture at the end of the year. If it drops 70% in 2026, I’ll have already sold all my coins.

View OriginalReply0