2025-12-25 14:21:32

Christmas Day US stock markets are closed, and overseas liquidity has significantly decreased, leading to a weakening of market volatility expectations. However, tomorrow (December 26th) at 4 PM, $23.6 billion worth of BTC options will expire, which could trigger notable price movements during this time window and is worth paying close attention to.

Regarding precious metals, gold has started from around 3100, and the previous prediction of reaching 4000 has been perfectly realized. The current price hovers around 4100, with the next target set at 5000. Silver also shows strong performance, expected to surge from the $50 level to $100, and has already risen to around $70. The long-term trends of these two commodities warrant ongoing attention.

The current market situation is a typical consolidation pattern—hot money is insufficient, news sentiment is relatively calm, and there is a lack of directional driving forces for prices. In this environment, short-term trading opportunities are limited, and medium- to long-term investors can focus on larger timeframes.

Short-term gains for BTC and ETH have been quite decent in recent days, but specific entry points still depend on real-time contract data feedback.

Regarding the medium-term trend of BTC, the expected rebound before Christmas did not occur as planned; the price only rebounded to around 3080, still 120 points short of the 3200 target, so this wave has not fully played out. Next, we will wait for the market reaction at tomorrow’s options expiration to determine whether there are opportunities for medium- or short-term operations.

The long-term layout strategy remains unchanged: progress based on target levels rather than time. The plan is to establish the first phase of positions (30% of the portfolio) within the $2088 and $72888 ranges, and to build the second phase of long positions (40% of the portfolio) in batches between $1388 and $48888. The remaining positions will stay on hold, avoiding being disturbed by short-term volatility. The overall strategy is to buy on dips and wait for the next stronger upward cycle.

BTC-0.13%

ETH-0.7%

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OvertimeSquid

· 8h ago

23.6 billion options will be revealed tomorrow; chances are it will be another bloodbath. Are you mentally prepared? Gold has perfectly reached 4000, greedily aiming for 5000, but silver from 50 to 70 still feels like something is missing. If there are no short-term opportunities, there's no need to fuss. I will continue to position myself at key levels and avoid being shaken by the market. BTC 3200 hasn't been reached, which is a bit frustrating, but it's normal. Tomorrow's options expiration could be the turning point. Long-term holdings remain the same; buy on dips and keep going. When the upward cycle arrives, we will harvest again. It feels like hot money has indeed been insufficient lately. The real show will start after the Christmas holiday.

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OnchainHolmes

· 8h ago

23.6 billion options expire tomorrow, this wave could be interesting, gotta hold on Gold has gone from 3100 to 4100, next step is to push to 5000, this rhythm is amazing If liquidity dries up, don’t try to bottom fish, let’s wait and see Short-term gains are possible, but I still value the opportunities when certain levels are reached It’s a bit surprising that BTC hasn’t rebounded to 3200, we’ll see after the options expire Divide your positions into phases, don’t buy all at once, this wave is a game of patience

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SocialAnxietyStaker

· 8h ago

23.6 billion options are expiring, this wave is probably going to cause a stir. Staying glued to the screen at 4 PM tomorrow and not daring to blink.

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MEVvictim

· 8h ago

23.6 billion USD options are expiring, this wave is really about to move... Gold and silver's surge is outrageous; those who have been accumulating on dips should be laughing their heads off now. If there are few short-term opportunities, don't mess around. I'm also waiting for tomorrow's window to see if I can get in. BTC's rebound this time is indeed a bit disappointing, still 120 points short of the target, it's a bit frustrating... I agree with the logic of building positions based on specific levels, just worried about being shaken out again, but since everything is planned, just hold on.

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ApeDegen

· 8h ago

23.6 billion options will be released tomorrow. Whether we can break through 3200 this time depends on luck. But I still believe in the long term, continue to accumulate at low levels, short-term fluctuations are just noise. Gold is almost at 5000, and this precious metals bull market is just beginning.

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SneakyFlashloan

· 8h ago

23.6 billion options are dropping tomorrow, this wave is probably going to cause some movement... Gold has gone from 3100 to 4100 and is now looking at 5000; this pace is indeed impressive. Silver is also taking off, but right now it's just a matter of lacking hot money. Short-term opportunities are limited. Let's wait until the options expire and see how the market reacts. Maybe there will be a chance to pick up some opportunities.

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