#比特币价格预测 Seeing the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 on Polymarket drop from a higher level to 29%, I am thinking that this is actually the market conducting a rational self-assessment.

The signals behind the data are very clear: the probability of falling below $80,000 has risen to 26%, indicating that market confidence in the short-term rally is indeed loosening. But I want to emphasize that this kind of volatility itself is not scary; what’s scary is how we react to the fluctuations.

Over the years, I’ve interacted with many investors—some chase after gains when probabilities rise, while others panic when probabilities fall. Actually, we should think the other way around: an adjustment in expectations is a good opportunity to reassess your allocations. If you hold Bitcoin, ask yourself—does this position exceed your risk tolerance? If you’re still on the sidelines, maybe now is the time to calmly consider your entry pace.

In the long run, short-term forecast probabilities are like weather forecasts—they change. What truly matters is whether you have developed a mindset that can withstand volatility, and whether you have set reasonable stop-loss and take-profit levels. When market confidence declines, it’s often a test of our safety awareness and patience.

Keep being cautious, avoid FOMO, and don’t be greedy. This principle will never let you down at any time.