2025-12-26 08:20:52

在币圈赚钱，靠的是什么？扎实的基本面分析，还是市场的骰子给你摇出来的好运？

说实话，两样都见过。选对赛道、研究白皮书、追踪链上数据——这些功夫不会白做。但有时候再周密的计划也挡不住一波意外行情或黑天鹅事件。运气这东西，在投资里占的比重可比你想的要大。

那个问题来了：这些年你的赚钱机会，更多是因为基本面硬、选对了项目，还是恰好踩在了风口上？

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 4h ago

I've truly seen fundamental analysis save people, and I've also seen fundamental analysis ruin people. Honestly, it's still mostly luck involved.

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GasFeeAssassin

· 13h ago

Dice roll luck is 99%, those research reports are all armchair quarterbacks after the fact.

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SelfCustodyBro

· 13h ago

Everyone has stepped on pitfalls; basically, it's half fundamentals and half luck. The key is to survive longer.

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rekt_but_vibing

· 13h ago

To put it simply, nine out of ten of my earning opportunities are probably just luck. Basic analysis is just for learning purposes, haha.

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consensus_failure

· 13h ago

Relying on research? Relying on luck? Honestly, when you're lucky, you think you can analyze, and only when you lose money do you remember the fundamentals.

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gas_fee_therapist

· 13h ago

Solid fundamental analysis can save you, but the real gold mine is in the trend. That's how I got through it myself, don't fool yourself.

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BuyTheTop

· 13h ago

This question is really well-phrased. To put it simply, it depends on whether you're a luck guy or a technical master, haha. Honestly, luck plays a big part. When I look back at my most profitable trades, most of them were basically guesses that turned out to be right.

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