Things have indeed been lively in the financial world recently. The Federal Reserve minutes will reveal internal disagreements over rate cuts, and at the same time, Trump is nominating a new Fed chair. Under this double impact, the volatility in the crypto market is already brewing.
Last time when rates were cut, Bitcoin experienced a rollercoaster ride, causing 110,000 traders to be liquidated. If the minutes release hawkish signals this time, the battle between bulls and bears will only intensify. The key is the candidate for the next Fed chair—rumors suggest it could be the aggressive dove Haskett or the reform-oriented Waugh, both of whom are believed to support rate cuts. Once liquidity truly opens the floodgates, the crypto asset market will undoubtedly be the biggest beneficiary.
The reality is a bit harsh: CME futures show only an 8.5% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in March. If the easing expectations fall short, beware of the "good news already priced in" trap. Interestingly, silver has recently experienced a strange wave of volatility. Although gold was mispriced, from a fundamental perspective, Bitcoin’s role as "digital gold" for hedging risk is even more prominent. Global central bank policies are quietly shifting (Japan is hinting at rate hikes), and the next bull market’s main logic may not be the 2025 halving but the macro shift in 2026.
In simple terms: the hotly speculated assets are just for show; the truly core assets require patience and careful planning. What’s your take—are we digging a trap or is this a real opportunity? Can Bitcoin break through the 120,000 mark? Feel free to comment and share your thoughts!👇
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Hash_Bandit
· 4h ago
ngl the 8.5% probability on that 50bp cut is giving me pre-2020 vibes... everyone's gonna get rekt betting on the "obvious" play again
Reply0
MoonBoi42
· 17h ago
Starting to talk about macro again, but is it really? Dare to boast an 8.5% chance as an opportunity, isn't this just the eve of "positive news being realized"?
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SleepTrader
· 17h ago
It's another "profit-taking" trick; I bet this time we'll get another round of chopping the leeks.
View OriginalReply0
MEVvictim
· 17h ago
Here we go again with this "macro shift" theory, just like last year...
View OriginalReply0
AirdropATM
· 18h ago
Coming back with this again? How many times did I hear the last "liquidity opens the door"... It still depends on the Federal Reserve's actual actions; the expectations on paper are all illusions.
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OPsychology
· 18h ago
Here we go again with this set? The probability of rate cuts is only 8.5%, and you're still talking about liquidity opening...
Worrying about next year's issues now is pointless; it's better to focus on tomorrow's trend.
Wait, is the halving logic moved to 2026? This line of thinking is all over the place...
120,000? I’d like to see if it can stabilize above 110,000 first, don’t want another round of liquidation show.
The easing expectations shattered, and it's another round of "good news realization" big crash... This routine is too classic.
I believe in Bitcoin's safe-haven attribute, but honestly, those entering now are betting on a hawkish-to-dovish shift, and that bet is a bit risky.
#数字资产市场动态 $ZBT $ONT
Things have indeed been lively in the financial world recently. The Federal Reserve minutes will reveal internal disagreements over rate cuts, and at the same time, Trump is nominating a new Fed chair. Under this double impact, the volatility in the crypto market is already brewing.
Last time when rates were cut, Bitcoin experienced a rollercoaster ride, causing 110,000 traders to be liquidated. If the minutes release hawkish signals this time, the battle between bulls and bears will only intensify. The key is the candidate for the next Fed chair—rumors suggest it could be the aggressive dove Haskett or the reform-oriented Waugh, both of whom are believed to support rate cuts. Once liquidity truly opens the floodgates, the crypto asset market will undoubtedly be the biggest beneficiary.
The reality is a bit harsh: CME futures show only an 8.5% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in March. If the easing expectations fall short, beware of the "good news already priced in" trap. Interestingly, silver has recently experienced a strange wave of volatility. Although gold was mispriced, from a fundamental perspective, Bitcoin’s role as "digital gold" for hedging risk is even more prominent. Global central bank policies are quietly shifting (Japan is hinting at rate hikes), and the next bull market’s main logic may not be the 2025 halving but the macro shift in 2026.
In simple terms: the hotly speculated assets are just for show; the truly core assets require patience and careful planning. What’s your take—are we digging a trap or is this a real opportunity? Can Bitcoin break through the 120,000 mark? Feel free to comment and share your thoughts!👇