2025-12-29 23:21:27

Forecasting the TGE timing options for Lighter, Edge, and a certain AI project in the market is quite interesting. Starting from early October, the odds for [Yes] once soared above 80%, but by the end of December, it directly dropped to 2-3%, and it looks like the settlement will reset to zero on January 1st. The combined funds collected by the three platforms exceeded one million USD.

The tricks behind this are worth noting for players—there are obvious signs of manipulation. It is recommended that when you encounter such options, if you really want to participate, remember to control your betting size. Small bets are the safest way to test the waters. Placing large bets on uncertain long-term predictions often just means giving money to the house.

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WhaleWatcher

· 11h ago

80% directly drops to 2%? This move is too dirty, obviously someone is accumulating shares.

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ApeWithNoFear

· 11h ago

Wow, 80% directly dropped to 2%. Isn't this the market maker's way of harvesting? A million dollars just disappeared like that.

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SmartContractDiver

· 11h ago

Same old story, 80% down to 2%, hilarious, the whales really know how to play --- A million-dollar game, I just want to know who is cutting whom --- Saying "small bets to test the waters" sounds sincere, but I bet fifty cents that someone will go all in in the end --- Prediction markets = gambling markets, I’ve learned my lesson this time --- Lighter and Edge teaming up to cut the leeks? That’s pretty ruthless --- Long-term predictions really are just about making money, my blood, sweat, and tears prove it --- 80% to 3%, this turnaround is more intense than a plot twist --- Controlling the bet size is just a cliché, the moment you bet, your rationality is gone --- Three platforms working together to cut the leek, this tactic is a bit professional --- Can someone explain if this is called a market or a casino

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WalletWhisperer

· 11h ago

Damn, dropping from 80% to 2%, this is purely market manipulation by the whales washing out positions. --- Million dollars just gone like that, the prediction market has really turned into a casino. --- Another good show, those who bet heavily for the long term are dead. --- Small-scale testing sounds good, but who doesn't want to go big... and this is the result. --- Three platforms working together to cut the leeks, gotta say, their coordination is quite tight. --- From 80 to 2, this manipulation is way too obvious, isn't anyone reporting it? --- Next time you encounter such a scammy option, just pass, it's not worth it. --- A scale of a million dollars, the whales must be overjoyed. --- Long-term predictions are just a trap, anyone who gets involved will die. --- Controlling the betting size sounds honest, but it would have been better if they said it earlier.

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token_therapist

· 11h ago

80% drop to 2%? That's a classic pump-and-dump scheme by the manipulators, millions of dollars just gone... You really have to be careful with this kind of prediction market; it looks like someone is manipulating the market. The signs of human manipulation are so obvious, yet people are still all-in. I just can't understand. The suggestion to test with small amounts is reliable; large amounts definitely mean giving money to the main players. The fact that these three platforms can make so much profit indicates that many people still haven't seen through the situation. Next time you encounter options with such drastic changes in odds, it's better to steer clear.

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 11h ago

80% directly drops to 2%? That's outrageous; the manipulator's tactics are truly incredible.

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