Political event betting just got a new player in town. A major prediction market platform has rolled out fresh betting odds on whether the U.S. will formalize a security guarantee for Ukraine. This kind of market is exactly where traders and analysts go to gauge real-time sentiment on geopolitical outcomes. The odds themselves become a signal—reflecting what the crowd thinks will actually happen versus media noise. If you're tracking how markets are pricing uncertainty, this is the sort of data point worth watching. Prediction markets like this one are reshaping how we understand crowd forecasting in the crypto space.