2025-12-30 00:38:59

Strategy Two: Balanced (Kelly Formula Optimization)

Objective: Maximize risk-adjusted returns

Based on the Kelly formula f = (bp - q) / b, optimize allocation:

| Range | Bet Amount | Entry Price | Winning Return |
|-------|--------------|--------------|----------------|
| $4,300–$4,400 | $45 | $0.41 | $110 |
| $4,400–$4,500 | $30 | $0.31 | $97 |
| $4,200–$4,300 | $15 | $0.19 | $79 |
| $4,500–$4,600 | $10 | $0.084 | $119 |

- Total Investment: $100
- Coverage Probability: 94%
- Expected Profit: $10-19 ( Main Range ) / $19 ( If $4,500+ )
- ✅ Advantages: Balances risk and reward
- ✅ Small bets in high odds ranges

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Strategy Three: Aggressive (Profit Maximization)

Objective: Pursue high returns, accept high risk

| Range | Bet Amount | Entry Price | Winning Return |
|-------|--------------|--------------|----------------|
| $4,300–$4,400 | $35 | $0.41 | $85 |
| $4,400–$4,500 | $25 | $0.31 | $81 |
| $4,200–$4,300 | $20 | $0.19 | $105 |
| $4,500–$4,600 | $15 | $0.084 | $179 |
| $4,100–$4,200 | $5 | $0.046 | $109 |

- Total Investment: $100
- Coverage Probability: 98%
- Maximum Potential Profit: $79 ( If $4,500-$4,600 hits )

- ⚠️ Risk: Profit in main range diluted

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