2025-12-30 01:22:12

Institutional traders generally believe that market volatility is limited during this period at the end of the year. Most trading departments will remain cautious and observant before the New Year, and only after January 1st will they reset with a "zeroing out" mindset, beginning to track key catalytic factors.

What major events are worth paying attention to at the start of 2026? According to market observations, they mainly include: the announcement of the Federal Reserve Chair candidate, the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs, the revision and review of the 《Clarity Act》 bill, regulatory updates on supplementary leverage ratio (SLR), the inclusion decision of MSCI crypto-related stock indices (15th), the FOMC interest rate decision (28th), and the expiration of US government funds (30th).

It is worth noting that these key moments will occur densely after the narrative of tax-loss selling ends, large-scale options expiration, and the accumulation of short positions. For traders tracking macro factors, the market rhythm in January may be more interesting than it appears.

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faded_wojak.eth

· 15h ago

Everyone is slacking off at the end of the year, waiting for January to reset and start over? I think they're holding a big move back. The decision by MSCI on the 15th is the key; whether the crypto sector can take off depends on this. Funds mature on January 30th... this timing is really perfect, there will be another wave of shock then. It feels like institutions are waiting for a certain signal; right now, anyone who moves is a fool. The short positions are so accumulated—are they paving the way for a rebound or really planning to dump the market?

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DYORMaster

· 15h ago

January's market rhythm is in full swing, and institutions are holding back big moves Resetting the zeroing mentality and getting back to work, this wave of catalysts is piling up quite intensely Federal Reserve Chair, options, short positions accumulating... it feels like January is the real show time Everyone is just coasting at the end of the year, the real drama starts in January Institutions are playing the time gap, and the New Year is when the signal lights turn on Will the day MSCI crypto inclusion explode? It's already marked Shorts accumulating combined with tax-loss selling, how will the relay continue? Let's wait and see, January's market definitely won't be as calm as it seems on the surface

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WenMoon

· 15h ago

There really isn't much market activity at the end of the year, everyone is just waiting for a reset and restart. The key point is the MSCI decision on January 15th; everything else is just a side show. With so much short interest accumulated, January might see a breakout... Wait, all of this was expected; institutions have already planned it all. With a series of major events happening, retail investors should just hold their coins and stay put.

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RatioHunter

· 15h ago

The end of the year is indeed a waiting game, and institutions are all holding back big moves. The series of events in January will come crashing down densely, giving the bears a lot to play with. The institutions' tactics this round are still the same old tricks. The New Year reset is just an excuse, in reality, they are waiting for the right moment. Don't underestimate the decision made by MSCI on the 15th; it might be more impactful than you think. Waiting to see how the Federal Reserve Chair's performance unfolds; it feels like there's a significant issue. The calmness at the end of the year is actually more frustrating, as it always feels like the calm before the storm. With so many bears accumulating in January, it really seems like we need to be cautious.

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WalletDetective

· 15h ago

The end of the year is the time for the wait-and-see crowd to take over; everyone is sharpening their knives and preparing for the big show in January. With so many events stacked in January, will it really explode? Or is it just another trick to lure me into the market? That MSCI decision feels quite crucial, but honestly, I'm more concerned about what kind of tricks the Federal Reserve might play. A buildup of shorts plus explosive options—this combination is a bit dangerous; it feels like something's going to happen. The zeroing-out mentality sounds good, but I'm just worried it might turn out to be a false alarm again.

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OnlyUpOnly

· 15h ago

End of the year is indeed about slack, the real show is in January With so many intense moves in January, can the MSCI decision finally give cryptocurrencies a proper name? Resetting to zero and reopening positions sounds like a signal that institutions are about to make moves Will a short squeeze follow closely? This rhythm is indeed interesting Wait until the Federal Reserve Chair is confirmed before acting, these people really have a strong risk awareness FOMC on January 28th, funds mature on the 30th, a critical point? Feels like a change is coming

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