2025-12-30 01:27:14

According to industry insiders, the over-the-counter trading market has shown a wait-and-see attitude this week, with most institutional trading departments pausing new position adjustments in anticipation of the new year's market kickoff. After entering 2026, multiple heavyweight events will be densely scheduled, potentially having a profound impact on cryptocurrency asset prices.

First, the Federal Reserve's personnel appointments and the Supreme Court's tariff rulings will directly influence macroeconomic expectations. Subsequently, the Clarity Act will enter the revision stage, and updates to the leverage regulation framework are also expected. Specifically in the crypto sector, the decision on whether MSCI will include crypto-related stocks in its index will be announced on the 15th, while the FOMC meeting on the 28th and the government funding deadline on the 30th are also noteworthy.

Analysts point out that these catalytic events, occurring in close succession, are happening at the tail end of tax-loss selling, large-scale options settlement, and short position accumulation, which could lead to quite volatile market reactions.

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HashRateHustler

· 11h ago

Institutions are all holding back big moves, and retail investors are just waiting to watch the fireworks. The decision on MSCI on the 15th is the real trigger point; everything else is just buildup. Wait, is the combination of tax-loss selling, options settlement, and short accumulation coming? With so many events at the start of 2026, it feels like a bomb could go off. What can the Clarity Act revision change? Regulations are becoming increasingly complex. It sounds nice, but I just want to know whether it will go up or down—no more beating around the bush. The tariff ruling is probably the biggest variable; if U.S. policy changes, the entire market will shake. Institutions stopping their positions is just building up energy, I understand that.

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ConfusedWhale

· 11h ago

Just watch and wait, I'm waiting anyway. The key is the MSCI decision on the 15th. --- Another bunch of timeline points, but won't it still be hard to predict then? --- Shorts have accumulated to this point, it's no wonder it's not dramatic. --- Clarity Act, leverage ratio, FOMC... intensive bombardment, it feels very exciting. --- Institutions have all stopped, this rhythm is a bit suspicious. --- Let's wait and see what happens on the 30th; the government funding deadline always has stories in previous years. --- Tax-loss selling season combined with options expiration, volatility could skyrocket then. --- So many major events in just two months, I don't know who can accurately predict the direction. --- I think the MSCI decision is uncertain, probably a 50-50 chance.

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LiquidationWizard

· 11h ago

Another round of policy bombardment, will it rise this time... Waiting for the MSCI decision on the 15th, feeling uncertain... Both watching and waiting, institutions are playing their tricks very skillfully Options expiration coincides with policy window, depends on who pulls their pants down first Shorts are accumulated so heavily, just afraid a single bullish candle will wipe out all positions haha The Clarity Act has been amended repeatedly, but it still tastes the same Institutions have stopped, should retail investors follow or go against the trend? The timing is so densely packed, it feels like something big is about to happen

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0xOverleveraged

· 11h ago

Here they come again, are the institutions just pretending to be dead and waiting for the market? Isn't this just big players accumulating chips? The key is the MSCI decision on the 15th. Who knows how many people will be wiped out then. With so many contract shorts, if it really rebounds... sisters, remember to cut losses. What should the Clarity Act be changed to? It seems that as soon as regulation comes, crypto won't have any good outcomes. Betting that the FOMC on the 28th will cause a sell-off, what about you?

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