On December 29, 2025, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has rebounded above $3,000. Below is an analysis and strategic reference based on current market information.

Current Market and Key Data Analysis

According to multiple sources, Ethereum experienced volatility at the end of December and has regained its upward momentum.

· Latest Price: On December 29, Ethereum broke through $3,000, with the latest quote at $3,002.41 USDT. Earlier market data shows that as of December 28, Ethereum was priced at $2,934.19.
· Recent Performance: Up 1.74% in the past 24 hours. Longer-term statistics indicate a 2.87% decline this month and a 12.27% decline year-to-date.
· Key Price Levels (Technical Analysis Perspective):
· Short-term key level: $2,991 is considered the dividing line between short-term bullish and bearish sentiment.
· Resistance above: $3,050 to $3,150 is the current critical resistance zone. A successful breakout could target $3,700.
· Support below: $2,700 is regarded by analysts as an important consensus support zone. If broken, the next significant support is around $2,750.

Market Analysis and Institutional Views

The current market sentiment towards Ethereum is mixed, but overall cautious optimism prevails.

· Bullish Views:
1. Institutional Confidence: Prominent investment firms' founders remain optimistic about 2026, especially in Q1, and plan to continue buying.
2. Technical Indicators Signal Reversal: Research firm 10x Research indicates Ethereum may see a trend reversal in January 2026, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) already showing bullish signals.
3. On-chain Data Shows Whales Are Still Holding: Whale addresses holding over 100,000 ETH have increased their holdings recently when prices dipped to $2,700, indicating large funds have not abandoned the position.
· Potential Risks to Watch:
1. Fragile Market Structure: Analysts note that while the market appears calm on the surface, derivatives positions are high, and indicators like ETF fund flows and stablecoin activity are no longer aligned, suggesting underlying turbulence.
2. Overall Trend Remains Weak: Despite positive signals, 10x Research emphasizes that Ethereum's current trend is still bearish, requiring about a 5% increase to trigger a trend reversal.

Trading Strategy Ideas

Based on the above information, there are mainly two strategic approaches in the market. To make it easier for you to read on mobile, the following will be explained in a clearer non-tabular format.

Strategy One: Breakout with the Trend

· Core Logic: Bet on the price successfully breaking through the key resistance zone to initiate a new upward trend.
· Suitable Scenario: When ETH price stabilizes above the $3,050–$3,150 resistance zone.
· Key Action: View pullbacks after the breakout as potential entry opportunities.
· Potential Target: Initially aiming for $3,700.
· Risk Control: Be cautious of false breakouts. Set stop-loss below the important support before the breakout (e.g., around $2,950).

Strategy Two: Range-bound Trading

· Core Logic: Expect the price to oscillate between key support and resistance levels.
· Suitable Scenario: When the price fluctuates between $2,700 and $3,150 without a clear direction.
· Key Action: Look for buying opportunities near support levels (e.g., $2,800–$2,900); consider reducing positions or hedging near resistance levels (e.g., $3,000–$3,100).
· Potential Target: Trade within the range between support and resistance.
· Risk Control: Keep a close eye on the $2,700 support. If the price drops sharply below this level, the range strategy fails, and stop-loss should be considered.

Summary and Recommendations

Overall, Ethereum is at a critical technical crossroads. On one hand, the price has returned above $3,000 and may challenge higher resistance levels; on the other hand, the overall market trend has not yet fully reversed.

In terms of trading, it is recommended to:

1. Focus on key levels: Pay close attention to the $2,700 support and the $3,050–$3,150 resistance zones, as they may be crucial for short-term directional decisions.
2. Beware of high volatility risks: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and derivatives markets are currently turbulent. Manage your positions carefully and set appropriate stop-losses.
3. Keep an eye on long-term narratives: Besides short-term price movements, macro factors such as “On-chain Finance, Stablecoins, Rate Cut Cycles” in 2026 are viewed by some institutions as the foundation for long-term optimism.
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