2025-12-30 02:27:10

I've seen too many people rush into the contract market hoping to get rich overnight, only to lose their principal in three or five days. Frankly, less than 10% of contract traders in the crypto space can turn a profit; most of those stories of sudden wealth are just people who survived bragging.

My four iron rules for trading over the years are as follows. First, separate your principal: 50% for short-term trading, 50% for long-term allocation; never all-in. Second, make no more than 3 trades per day; once your expected profit is reached, withdraw immediately. If you want to trade more, play games to satisfy your craving. Third, if your short-term funds are wiped out for the day, stop trading; don’t fall into a gambler’s mentality, always hoping the next trade will turn things around.

The secret to short-term trading is actually very simple — it’s not about betting on the direction of the rise or fall, but about riding the "oscillation range." After significant Bitcoin volatility, it often enters a sideways consolidation, with highs and lows only about $500 apart, which is the perfect opportunity.

Look at the 4-hour K-line with EMA20 and Bollinger Bands. When the price repeatedly touches support and resistance within a certain range, you can go short at the top and long at the bottom. Set your stop-loss outside the range by 5% — for example, within the sideways range ±$50. Once the price breaks out, cut your losses decisively; don’t hold onto any hope. Keep each position within 10% of your account, take profits at 3%-5%, and exit. Doing this five or six times a day, aiming for a daily return of 10%-20%.

An example from my previous Ethereum trading: it oscillated repeatedly between $3200 and $3300. I bought long at $3250, sold at $3280 to take profit, and cut losses at $3220 if it went lower. Using a $100 position to make $30, repeat several times a day, and slowly grow the account with compound interest.

Most importantly: slow is fast; only stability leads to victory. Those eager to turn things around quickly are often the first to exit.

BTC0,24%

ETH0,39%

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GasFeeCrier

· 8h ago

Contracts are almost always a losing game; this guy's summary is spot on, but maintaining that mindset is the hardest part. Honestly, losing without capital for three or five days is quite common, but aiming for a 10% daily profit seems pretty unlikely. Just sticking for a month without blowing up the account is already good.

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CoffeeOnChain

· 8h ago

No problem with that. The players who survive with a 10% return are basically those with a steady rhythm. Those who get rich overnight are either survivor bias or pure luck. What I admire most is still "slow is fast." It sounds old-fashioned, but it's really the easiest to overlook. Most people get anxious when they see others' 3x or 10x screenshots, not realizing those are rare exceptions. I agree with the 3%-5% target for this position. Earning 10%-20% daily may sound conservative, but with compound interest over a year, it's truly terrifying. However, the problem is, how many people can really stick to "withdraw once you've earned enough" instead of getting itchy to continue... This methodology is especially friendly to small accounts. Even 1,000 yuan can be compounded, and the core is discipline and stop-loss execution.

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SchrodingerWallet

· 8h ago

It's the same theory again, everything sounds right but nobody can actually do it. Every time I think, "Just this one time, I'll turn it around," and then I end up losing.

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