Whenever the market hits these nodes, someone always starts shouting—everyone is bearish, and a rebound is just around the corner. But look back at history and you'll see that this logic simply doesn't hold up.

During the end of 2024, after everyone was bearish, there was indeed a rebound. But what about early 2022? Universal bearishness was just the opening act of the bear market. So the issue isn't the sentiment itself, but whether the market structure has broken down.

Sentiment never determines direction; it only influences how it moves. Either a surge in volume causes a sharp drop, or it consolidates sideways, wearing out retail investors before pushing up again.

Look at Bitcoin's trend. This sideways movement has lasted so long—looks stable, right? Wrong, that's just a shakeout. The 85,000 level is a critical line; if it can't be sustained or broken through, it doesn't count. Once it falls below, a new downtrend begins, so don't hope for a rebound.

Ethereum is the same; 3000 is a key threshold. If it can hold this level, it might rebound once, but don't expect a big rally. If it can't hold, that's a classic trap to lure buyers, and things will get even worse afterward.

Many people rush to be contrarians, thinking that doing the opposite will make them money. But before the price truly signals a turn, no matter how intense the sentiment, it’s worthless. The real data from the market is what matters.