UKOIL has indeed been quite volatile recently. On one hand, OPEC+ production cuts continue to be implemented, coupled with uncertainties in the Middle East situation, all supporting oil prices; but on the other hand, the global economic recovery momentum is clearly insufficient, which dampens crude oil demand expectations. US and European crude oil inventories are accumulating unexpectedly one after another, creating obvious bearish pressure.



From a technical perspective, the hourly Bollinger Bands are opening downward, forming a wide-range oscillation zone, with prices moving near the lower band, indicating a clear bearish trend. The short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 are arranged in a bearish alignment, with prices consistently below the moving average system, reinforcing the strong downward trend.

In terms of trading strategy, consider entering around the 62.1 level. This is the lower boundary of the previous consolidation range, which, once broken, forms a clear resistance level. Multiple rebounds on the hourly chart have failed to break through effectively, signaling a clear shorting opportunity. A rebound to 62.5 can be used to add positions, as this level is the resistance of MA10 and is below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a secondary resistance during a weak rebound. The support level is at 62.8, where the upper Bollinger Band and MA20 converge, creating resonance pressure. A successful break above this level could break the hourly bearish structure, so caution is needed for a trend reversal.

The target range is 61.3-60.9. Of course, this is just my personal view; keep a close eye on the USD index fluctuations and EIA inventory data.
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NFTArchaeologisvip
· 7h ago
This wave of bearish structure does resemble a bear market in the antique market—inventory buildup is like an excess of artifacts unearthed, and the scarcity instantly collapses. The 62.8 support level must hold, or else the technical appeal will be broken.
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potentially_notablevip
· 7h ago
Inventory exceeds expectations and piles up. This is the real short-seller killer. No matter how much OPEC+ cuts production, it's useless.
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rugdoc.ethvip
· 7h ago
Inventory has been consistently overflowing, and the economy isn't showing much improvement. This wave of bears definitely should step in.
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ChainWallflowervip
· 7h ago
Inventory has accumulated beyond expectations again, and this time oil prices are likely to go down. Entering short at 62.1 feels safe; it all depends on how the US dollar index moves.
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TrustMeBrovip
· 7h ago
Is the inventory exceeding expectations again? This is the real killer. No matter how aggressive OPEC+ cuts are, they can't withstand weak demand. The current wave of shorting is quite fierce. I think entering at 62.1 is reliable, but you need to watch out for the 62.8 level. If it breaks, you really need to run. If the economy isn't doing well, oil prices will have to fall. That logic is sound. Let's wait for the EIA report, that’s where the real uncertainty lies. It might be another black swan. The Bollinger Bands are opening so wide; the hourly chart signals are quite clear. The bear arrangement is right here. Tsk, time to watch the market again. The US dollar index might cause some trouble. Adding positions at 62.5? That's a bit greedy, buddy. One rebound is already quite challenging. Targets are pointing towards the 6-dollar range, so there’s still room to go down.
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AirdropSkepticvip
· 7h ago
Inventory levels exceeded expectations again. This time, oil prices really need to fall. When the economy is weak, nobody wants oil.
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SolidityStrugglervip
· 7h ago
Inventory levels exceeded expectations again... This thing has never gone up, right? Is it really good to short at 62.1? Feels like breaking 62.8 might be even more dangerous.
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