2025-12-30 04:20:29

#数字资产市场动态 Recently reviewing Ethereum's trend, I found that the 1-hour level market does have some potential. I want to share some of my recent observations with everyone.

Looking at ETH's current candlestick performance. The price is hovering around 2950, just caught between the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands. Interestingly, the upper and lower bands are gradually narrowing — this indicates that volatility is decreasing, and the market is brewing for a bigger move.

The MACD signal is quite clear. The yellow and white lines are close above the zero line, showing signs of spreading upward again. Although the green bars are still relatively short, they haven't turned red yet, indicating that the bullish momentum is continuously building and hasn't been dissipated. This is a positive sign.

In the short term, the correction phase is likely coming to an end. Why do I think so? During several dips, the price was effectively supported by the middle Bollinger Band, with the 2938-2940 range providing solid defense. The current sideways movement seems more like digesting previous profits, preparing for the next upward trend. As long as there is a volume-driven breakout above the upper band resistance zone, the upward space will open.

From an operational perspective, the ideal entry point should be when the price retraces to around 2940-2945. If it can stabilize within this range, it would be a good low-position entry opportunity. More daring traders can also try a small position near the current price of 2950 to test the bullish direction.

Risk management is crucial. Setting a stop-loss below 2925 is more appropriate — if the price falls below this level, the short-term upward framework could be easily broken, and it would be wise to exit and wait for new opportunities.

Regarding targets, the first phase looks toward the 2966 area near the upper band. If it can break through and stabilize, the next target would be the 2980-3000 key zone.

Finally, a reminder: always prioritize stop-loss and position control. The market rhythm is constantly changing, and our plans should be flexible to adapt to the market. Wishing everyone good luck in capturing great opportunities!

ETH1,36%

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MEVHunterWang

· 1h ago

The Bollinger Bands narrowing is a phrase I've heard too many times, and every time it says it's about to take off, it just consolidates sideways for a while. But your analysis is okay; the support level at 2940 is indeed worth paying attention to. --- Honestly, the hourly chart does look a bit interesting, but I'm just worried it might be a false breakout again... Forget it, I'll try with a small position. --- Why do I always look bullish? What about the opportunity for a bear? --- The green candle hasn't even turned red yet, and you're already hyping up the bulls. I find that suspicious. --- I agree with the MACD convergence signal; the target of 2966 is a bit conservative, though. --- Set the stop-loss below 2925; it sounds good, but in actual trading, it's hard to pin down that price precisely. --- It's the same old story with Bollinger Bands and MACD. The key is volume; breakouts without volume are all fake moves. --- Is it too late to get in at 2950 now? Should have already been positioned at 2920. --- This analysis logic isn't bad; let's see if the market can follow through as expected. The market changes in an instant. --- Digesting profits to consolidate and prepare? Please, stop using that phrase; it's giving me a headache.

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GasGuzzler

· 12h ago

Bollinger Bands narrowing, MACD converging—I've seen this combo too many times, and the result is usually a mess. But the 2940 support does seem interesting; I think it's a good place to lay low and wait for a rebound. --- It's the same old story of stop-loss and position control. Does anyone really follow this every day? I myself often get stopped out. --- Targets like 2966 and 3000 seem a bit optimistic. The market moving up so quickly? I remain skeptical. --- Trying a small position to test the bullish trend isn't a bad idea; at worst, it's just a small gamble. --- Does a green MACD histogram not turning red mean a bullish signal? That logic seems a bit forced. Let's wait and see.

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ProbablyNothing

· 12h ago

This analysis is quite detailed, but I still find the 2950 level a bit uncertain. I feel it's better to wait for a pullback confirmation before jumping in.

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WhaleWatcher

· 12h ago

2950 is indeed a tricky level, but I'm more concerned about whether there can really be a breakout in volume. Speaking of the Bollinger Bands narrowing, this explanation is always given, but what’s the result? It still depends on whether the funds are willing to buy in. A small position test is possible, but setting the stop-loss so close at 2925, I think it's easy to be shaken out. Wait, your target is 2980-3000... Is it really possible to reach such a distant level?

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CryptoDouble-O-Seven

· 12h ago

The 2950 level is indeed interesting, but I still prefer the trend after breaking 2966.

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GasWastingMaximalist

· 12h ago

Does the Bollinger Bands narrowing necessarily mean you should come in? I feel like too many people are watching this signal, and during a breakout, it's easier to get shaken out.

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 12h ago

The idea that Bollinger Bands are narrowing, I've heard it too many times, but in the end, it still gets broken through. I had already shorted at the 2950 level. Now seeing your analysis, I'm a bit panicked. Stop loss at 2925? Are you trying to trap yourself? That previous wave directly dropped below that. But your later judgment on volume is okay, at least you didn't make up data blindly. Recently, ETH has indeed been interesting, but I still reserve judgment on the bigger players.

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GasGoblin

· 12h ago

I'm tired of the phrase "Bollinger Bands narrowing." Every time, it's said to signal a big move, but it just ends up oscillating again and again...

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