#数字资产市场动态 In the crypto world for eight years, I have seen many traders still losing money after a full year. Instead of stubbornly pushing through and feeling their way across the river, it’s better to pause and organize your thoughts. Here are several core insights that have been repeatedly validated—no hype, just practical experience gained from surviving.

**Change Your Approach to Small Capital**
For capital under 200,000 yuan, never go all-in every day. The risk of frequent trial and error is not something retail investors can bear; we’re not market makers and can’t afford thin margins. Instead of making 100 trades a year, focus on one main upward trend and be content. Historical data repeatedly shows that annual returns often come from that critical wave.

**Cognition Is the Ceiling**
Honestly, the upper limit of your earnings isn’t determined by luck, but by how deep your understanding of the market is. First, use a demo account to refine your mindset—go through fear, greed, hesitation, and other emotions. A demo allows you to lose hundreds of times safely, but once real trading gets out of control, your capital may never recover. This is not alarmist talk; it’s the blood and tears lesson of countless traders.

**Exit When Good News Appears**
If you haven’t exited on the day of major positive news, you must decisively sell when the market opens high the next day. There’s a hard rule in the market: the realization of good news often marks the turning point of the trend. Many people get caught because they greedily want a little more profit. This is especially true for major coins like $BTC and $ETH; the expectation of good news and the realization of good news are two different things.

**Reduce Leverage Before Holidays**
A week before a holiday, reduce your positions accordingly—sell what needs to be sold, close what needs to be closed. This is not being conservative; it’s respecting historical patterns. Major holidays are never the best time to send money; liquidity is low, volatility is high, and negative news tends to be concentrated. Missing a rise is better than being stuck for three months.

**Medium to Long Term Needs Dynamic Management**
Always keep enough cash reserves for emergencies and bottom-fishing. When prices rise, cut positions decisively; when panic selling occurs, look for opportunities to buy back. Relying solely on faith and holding blindly often means you’re just handing over your assets to others. For coins with stories like $CRV, flexible rolling strategies are even more necessary—don’t let emotions replace rationality.

**Short-Term Focus on Volume-Driven Targets**
Trading volume and volatility are the lifeblood of short-term trading. Coins with no volume and no volatility are just time black holes; concepts won’t help. The first hurdle in choosing coins is passing this filter, so you can save energy for truly valuable targets.

**Downward Rhythm Determines Rebound Pattern**
Rebounds after a slow decline tend to be gradual, but quick rebounds after sharp drops happen fast. Understanding this rhythm allows you to use the same methodology to adapt to different market environments. Candlestick charts speak volumes—understand their temperament before making a move.

**Always Prioritize Stop-Loss**
As long as you have capital, there are endless opportunities. But if you get caught and refuse to cut losses, you’re actively handing control of the game to the market. A big loss often requires many small wins to recover, which is not cost-effective. Admitting mistakes is not shameful; holding on stubbornly is the real gambler’s behavior.

**Short-Term Trading Focus on 15-Minute Charts**
Use candlestick patterns combined with KDJ indicators to find buy and sell points—this combo is enough. Don’t let too many technical indicators disturb your rhythm; the simpler and purer, the easier it is to execute.

**Only Two or Three Effective Strategies**
No matter how many technical schools there are, successful traders usually rely on just two or three tricks. Stable compound growth depends on focus and discipline, not fancy techniques. Once you find what works for you, keep repeating it, and improve your execution through repetition.

The market never sympathizes with those who work hard without a plan. But it will reward those who stick to discipline, admit mistakes, and survive. If you’re still confused, start by adjusting according to these points.